The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and Donald Trump's 63 percent share in 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Tim Walberg, who captured 65.7 percent in the prior cycle, faces no primary opposition after filing as the sole GOP candidate and maintains a decisive fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the southern Michigan seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election, though structural factors limit realistic challenges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMI-05 House Election Winner
MI-05 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$2,654 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$2,365 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and Donald Trump's 63 percent share in 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Tim Walberg, who captured 65.7 percent in the prior cycle, faces no primary opposition after filing as the sole GOP candidate and maintains a decisive fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the southern Michigan seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election, though structural factors limit realistic challenges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$5,020Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and Donald Trump's 63 percent share in 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Tim Walberg, who captured 65.7 percent in the prior cycle, faces no primary opposition after filing as the sole GOP candidate and maintains a decisive fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the southern Michigan seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election, though structural factors limit realistic challenges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,020Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and Donald Trump's 63 percent share in 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Tim Walberg, who captured 65.7 percent in the prior cycle, faces no primary opposition after filing as the sole GOP candidate and maintains a decisive fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the southern Michigan seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election, though structural factors limit realistic challenges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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