Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin, who has held the office since 2017, faces a Democratic primary on June 23 but little general-election opposition in a district with a strong partisan voting index advantage. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Limited Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment further reinforce the positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as the incumbent’s withdrawal, a major scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-08 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
MD-08 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$14,576 Vol.
$14,576 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
$14,576 Vol.
$14,576 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$6,416 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$8,159 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin, who has held the office since 2017, faces a Democratic primary on June 23 but little general-election opposition in a district with a strong partisan voting index advantage. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Limited Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment further reinforce the positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as the incumbent’s withdrawal, a major scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$14,576Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin, who has held the office since 2017, faces a Democratic primary on June 23 but little general-election opposition in a district with a strong partisan voting index advantage. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Limited Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment further reinforce the positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as the incumbent’s withdrawal, a major scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,576Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin, who has held the office since 2017, faces a Democratic primary on June 23 but little general-election opposition in a district with a strong partisan voting index advantage. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Limited Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment further reinforce the positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as the incumbent’s withdrawal, a major scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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