Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris's long tenure and chairmanship of the House Freedom Caucus bolster Republican prospects in the R+8 leaning MD-01, where traders price a GOP hold at 57.5% implied probability despite recent selling pressure. The district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report reflects Harris's 59% victory margin in 2024 and strong rural Eastern Shore base. Ahead of the June 23 primaries, Democrat Dan Schwartz leads a contested primary with $505,000 raised from 10,000 small donors and Gov. Wes Moore's endorsement, fueling Democratic odds at 41.5% through unusual national attention and potential post-primary consolidation. No public polls exist, leaving nominee strength and midterm turnout as pivotal uncertainties.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
MD-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
57%
Partido Democrata
42%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,242 Vol.
57%
Partido Democrata
$2,930 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris's long tenure and chairmanship of the House Freedom Caucus bolster Republican prospects in the R+8 leaning MD-01, where traders price a GOP hold at 57.5% implied probability despite recent selling pressure. The district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report reflects Harris's 59% victory margin in 2024 and strong rural Eastern Shore base. Ahead of the June 23 primaries, Democrat Dan Schwartz leads a contested primary with $505,000 raised from 10,000 small donors and Gov. Wes Moore's endorsement, fueling Democratic odds at 41.5% through unusual national attention and potential post-primary consolidation. No public polls exist, leaving nominee strength and midterm turnout as pivotal uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$8,172Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris's long tenure and chairmanship of the House Freedom Caucus bolster Republican prospects in the R+8 leaning MD-01, where traders price a GOP hold at 57.5% implied probability despite recent selling pressure. The district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report reflects Harris's 59% victory margin in 2024 and strong rural Eastern Shore base. Ahead of the June 23 primaries, Democrat Dan Schwartz leads a contested primary with $505,000 raised from 10,000 small donors and Gov. Wes Moore's endorsement, fueling Democratic odds at 41.5% through unusual national attention and potential post-primary consolidation. No public polls exist, leaving nominee strength and midterm turnout as pivotal uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,172Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris's long tenure and chairmanship of the House Freedom Caucus bolster Republican prospects in the R+8 leaning MD-01, where traders price a GOP hold at 57.5% implied probability despite recent selling pressure. The district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report reflects Harris's 59% victory margin in 2024 and strong rural Eastern Shore base. Ahead of the June 23 primaries, Democrat Dan Schwartz leads a contested primary with $505,000 raised from 10,000 small donors and Gov. Wes Moore's endorsement, fueling Democratic odds at 41.5% through unusual national attention and potential post-primary consolidation. No public polls exist, leaving nominee strength and midterm turnout as pivotal uncertainties.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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