Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100% implied probability) for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching 22°C or higher on March 28, driven by official forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international services projecting daytime highs of 23–24°C under hazy sunshine and overcast skies with light winds. Morning observations at Wuhan stations show temperatures starting at 16°C amid fog, with rapid afternoon warming expected due to southerly flows and high-pressure ridging—consistent with late-March climatology where averages exceed 20°C. Ensemble model agreement reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold front or persistent heavy cloud cover suppressing peak heating, though current steering patterns indicate stability; final resolution awaits official Hankou station data post-sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$81,349 Vol.
$81,349 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$81,349 Vol.
$81,349 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100% implied probability) for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching 22°C or higher on March 28, driven by official forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international services projecting daytime highs of 23–24°C under hazy sunshine and overcast skies with light winds. Morning observations at Wuhan stations show temperatures starting at 16°C amid fog, with rapid afternoon warming expected due to southerly flows and high-pressure ridging—consistent with late-March climatology where averages exceed 20°C. Ensemble model agreement reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold front or persistent heavy cloud cover suppressing peak heating, though current steering patterns indicate stability; final resolution awaits official Hankou station data post-sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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