Trader consensus clusters around 13°C (32%) for Toronto's March 26 high temperature, driven by Environment Canada's latest short-range forecast indicating 12-14°C under mild southerly flow and partial sun. Ensemble models—GFS, ECMWF, and GEM—converge on 12.5-13.5°C means, with subtle differences arising from boundary layer mixing and cloud cover uncertainty: clearer skies favor 14°C via enhanced solar insolation, while thickening clouds limit to 12°C by reducing surface heating. This setup marks a warm outlier against Toronto's March 26 historical average of 7°C, influenced by a persistent Atlantic ridge. Monitor Pearson Airport observations for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Toronto em 26 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Toronto em 26 de março?
13°C 35%
12°C 22.3%
14°C 15.3%
11°C 12%
$15,546 Vol.
$15,546 Vol.
8°C ou menos
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
4%
11°C
12%
12°C
22%
13°C
33%
14°C
15%
15°C
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C ou mais
1%
13°C 35%
12°C 22.3%
14°C 15.3%
11°C 12%
$15,546 Vol.
$15,546 Vol.
8°C ou menos
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
4%
11°C
12%
12°C
22%
13°C
33%
14°C
15%
15°C
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 13°C (32%) for Toronto's March 26 high temperature, driven by Environment Canada's latest short-range forecast indicating 12-14°C under mild southerly flow and partial sun. Ensemble models—GFS, ECMWF, and GEM—converge on 12.5-13.5°C means, with subtle differences arising from boundary layer mixing and cloud cover uncertainty: clearer skies favor 14°C via enhanced solar insolation, while thickening clouds limit to 12°C by reducing surface heating. This setup marks a warm outlier against Toronto's March 26 historical average of 7°C, influenced by a persistent Atlantic ridge. Monitor Pearson Airport observations for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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