Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 1, backed by Environment Canada's official hourly observations showing that precise maximum amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 20 km/h, which capped daytime heating after an overnight start near 9°C. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre's models, which projected highs near 10°C under a cool air mass influenced by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Great Lakes region—consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 11°C but variability from synoptic patterns often yields such outcomes. With data now verified from the airport's automated sensors, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning barring rare post hoc revisions from quality control audits.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 1 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 1 de abril?
10°C 100.0%
4°C ou menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$399,779 Vol.
$399,779 Vol.
4°C ou menos
Não
5°C
Não
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Sim
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C ou mais
Não
10°C 100.0%
4°C ou menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$399,779 Vol.
$399,779 Vol.
4°C ou menos
Não
5°C
Não
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Sim
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 1, backed by Environment Canada's official hourly observations showing that precise maximum amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 20 km/h, which capped daytime heating after an overnight start near 9°C. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre's models, which projected highs near 10°C under a cool air mass influenced by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Great Lakes region—consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 11°C but variability from synoptic patterns often yields such outcomes. With data now verified from the airport's automated sensors, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning barring rare post hoc revisions from quality control audits.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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