Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Tel Aviv on March 19, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on mild conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge and northerly breezes limiting daytime heating. Official projections from the Israel Meteorological Service align precisely with this, matching historical March averages of 20-22°C amid typical spring variability. This positioning reflects low model spread and verified recent observations of cooler-than-normal air masses. Realistic challenges include sudden southerly winds introducing Saharan dust or warmer advection, or microscale urban heat effects at monitoring stations, potentially nudging peaks to 23-25°C if cloud cover clears unexpectedly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 19 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 19 de março?
22°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$29,937 Vol.
$29,937 Vol.
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Sim
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
22°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$29,937 Vol.
$29,937 Vol.
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Sim
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 15, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Tel Aviv on March 19, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on mild conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge and northerly breezes limiting daytime heating. Official projections from the Israel Meteorological Service align precisely with this, matching historical March averages of 20-22°C amid typical spring variability. This positioning reflects low model spread and verified recent observations of cooler-than-normal air masses. Realistic challenges include sudden southerly winds introducing Saharan dust or warmer advection, or microscale urban heat effects at monitoring stations, potentially nudging peaks to 23-25°C if cloud cover clears unexpectedly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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