Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47% implied probability for a 32°C high in Singapore tomorrow, edging out 31°C at 36.5%, despite the Meteorological Service Singapore's latest 4-day outlook forecasting 34°C amid light variable winds and afternoon thundery showers over northern, western, and central areas. This positioning reflects caution over shower timing, as frequent afternoon convection in the equatorial inter-monsoon period often suppresses peak temperatures measured around midday at Changi, capping observed highs below model guidance—recent days in March's warmer second half have averaged near 34°C but with variability from thunderstorms. Historical March norms hover at 31°C, with uncertainty hinging on shower onset; NEA updates expected throughout the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Singapura no dia 29 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Singapura no dia 29 de março?
32°C 47%
31°C 36%
30°C 7.8%
33°C 8%
$42,289 Vol.
$42,289 Vol.
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31°C
36%
32°C
47%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C ou mais
1%
32°C 47%
31°C 36%
30°C 7.8%
33°C 8%
$42,289 Vol.
$42,289 Vol.
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31°C
36%
32°C
47%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47% implied probability for a 32°C high in Singapore tomorrow, edging out 31°C at 36.5%, despite the Meteorological Service Singapore's latest 4-day outlook forecasting 34°C amid light variable winds and afternoon thundery showers over northern, western, and central areas. This positioning reflects caution over shower timing, as frequent afternoon convection in the equatorial inter-monsoon period often suppresses peak temperatures measured around midday at Changi, capping observed highs below model guidance—recent days in March's warmer second half have averaged near 34°C but with variability from thunderstorms. Historical March norms hover at 31°C, with uncertainty hinging on shower onset; NEA updates expected throughout the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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