Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for 25°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 27, driven by verified observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations recording a midday peak of exactly 25°C under mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipated highs in the 24-26°C range, aligning with historical March averages of 23-25°C for the coastal city, influenced by seasonal warming and neutral ENSO patterns. Post-event data verification has locked in this outcome, with negligible room for revision barring anomalous sensor recalibrations—extremely rare for finalized daily records. No major upcoming updates expected.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 27?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 27?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$423,707 Vol.
$423,707 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$423,707 Vol.
$423,707 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for 25°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 27, driven by verified observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations recording a midday peak of exactly 25°C under mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipated highs in the 24-26°C range, aligning with historical March averages of 23-25°C for the coastal city, influenced by seasonal warming and neutral ENSO patterns. Post-event data verification has locked in this outcome, with negligible room for revision barring anomalous sensor recalibrations—extremely rare for finalized daily records. No major upcoming updates expected.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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