Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 14°C as Seoul's highest temperature on March 29, with 13°C and 15°C close behind, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast models showing peak daytime highs in the 13–15°C range amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds. Over the past 48 hours, updated model runs from KMA and global ensembles like ECMWF have shifted probabilities downward from earlier projections near 17°C, as a recent cold air advection reduced diurnal heating potential despite mild spring baseline conditions—late March averages hover around 13°C with typical variability of ±2°C. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud evolution and insolation levels, which could push toward 15°C if partial clearing occurs, versus sustained overcast favoring 13°C; final KMA guidance expected later today ahead of observational resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 29 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 29 de março?
14°C 26%
13°C 18%
15°C 18%
17°C ou mais 15%
$65,149 Vol.
$65,149 Vol.
7°C ou menos
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
10%
13°C
18%
14°C
26%
15°C
18%
16°C
12%
17°C ou mais
15%
14°C 26%
13°C 18%
15°C 18%
17°C ou mais 15%
$65,149 Vol.
$65,149 Vol.
7°C ou menos
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
10%
13°C
18%
14°C
26%
15°C
18%
16°C
12%
17°C ou mais
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 14°C as Seoul's highest temperature on March 29, with 13°C and 15°C close behind, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast models showing peak daytime highs in the 13–15°C range amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds. Over the past 48 hours, updated model runs from KMA and global ensembles like ECMWF have shifted probabilities downward from earlier projections near 17°C, as a recent cold air advection reduced diurnal heating potential despite mild spring baseline conditions—late March averages hover around 13°C with typical variability of ±2°C. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud evolution and insolation levels, which could push toward 15°C if partial clearing occurs, versus sustained overcast favoring 13°C; final KMA guidance expected later today ahead of observational resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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