Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on March 28 at 12°C under clear skies and light northerly winds capping daytime heating, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on this outcome. Recent observational data from the past 24 hours confirms daily highs stabilizing around 10–12°C amid persistent cool air masses typical of late March climatology, where historical averages hover near 11°C. Global model ensembles align closely, showing minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift or prolonged solar insolation boosting temps above 13°C, though updated hourly forecasts expected through evening provide the next resolution catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$585,947 Vol.
$585,947 Vol.
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$585,947 Vol.
$585,947 Vol.
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on March 28 at 12°C under clear skies and light northerly winds capping daytime heating, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on this outcome. Recent observational data from the past 24 hours confirms daily highs stabilizing around 10–12°C amid persistent cool air masses typical of late March climatology, where historical averages hover near 11°C. Global model ensembles align closely, showing minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift or prolonged solar insolation boosting temps above 13°C, though updated hourly forecasts expected through evening provide the next resolution catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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