Official National Weather Service observations confirm San Francisco's highest temperature on March 26 reached 70°F at key monitoring stations, including San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), locking trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with mild spring conditions under high pressure ridging over California, featuring light onshore winds and clear skies that capped daytime heating, consistent with recent NOAA forecast models showing limited warm-air advection. Historical March averages around 62°F further contextualize this above-normal but constrained peak. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from preliminary to final records or disputes over measurement standards, though agency verification processes make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on March 26?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 26?
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$67,774 Vol.
$67,774 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$67,774 Vol.
$67,774 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official National Weather Service observations confirm San Francisco's highest temperature on March 26 reached 70°F at key monitoring stations, including San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), locking trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with mild spring conditions under high pressure ridging over California, featuring light onshore winds and clear skies that capped daytime heating, consistent with recent NOAA forecast models showing limited warm-air advection. Historical March averages around 62°F further contextualize this above-normal but constrained peak. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from preliminary to final records or disputes over measurement standards, though agency verification processes make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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