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Temperatura mais alta em Paris em 29 de março?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Paris em 29 de março?

12°C 36%

11°C 30%

13°C 17%

10°C 11%

Polymarket

$17,015 Vol.

12°C 36%

11°C 30%

13°C 17%

10°C 11%

Polymarket

$17,015 Vol.

6°C ou menos

$1,555 Vol.

<1%

7°C

$830 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$1,323 Vol.

1%

9°C

$868 Vol.

1%

10°C

$1,503 Vol.

11%

11°C

$1,550 Vol.

30%

12°C

$1,848 Vol.

36%

13°C

$2,245 Vol.

17%

14°C

$1,805 Vol.

5%

15°C

$1,576 Vol.

2%

16°C ou superior

$2,018 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Paris high temperature of 12°C at 34.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 11°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest Météo-France and ECMWF forecast models projecting maximums clustered between 11–13°C under persistent low-level cloud cover from a cool Atlantic airflow. Mostly cloudy conditions limit daytime insolation and suppress convective heating in the boundary layer, with model ensemble spread—some runs showing partial afternoon clearing versus sustained overcast—driving the close contest between these outcomes. Historical March highs average 12°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but current synoptic patterns favor subdued peaks; hourly updates from official agencies through March 29 will refine resolution as urban heat and timing of any breaks in clouds tip the balance.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Paris high temperature of 12°C at 34.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 11°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest Météo-France and ECMWF forecast models projecting maximums clustered between 11–13°C under persistent low-level cloud cover from a cool Atlantic airflow. Mostly cloudy conditions limit daytime insolation and suppress convective heating in the boundary layer, with model ensemble spread—some runs showing partial afternoon clearing versus sustained overcast—driving the close contest between these outcomes. Historical March highs average 12°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but current synoptic patterns favor subdued peaks; hourly updates from official agencies through March 29 will refine resolution as urban heat and timing of any breaks in clouds tip the balance.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Paris high temperature of 12°C at 34.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 11°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest Météo-France and ECMWF forecast models projecting maximums clustered between 11–13°C under persistent low-level cloud cover from a cool Atlantic airflow. Mostly cloudy conditions limit daytime insolation and suppress convective heating in the boundary layer, with model ensemble spread—some runs showing partial afternoon clearing versus sustained overcast—driving the close contest between these outcomes. Historical March highs average 12°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but current synoptic patterns favor subdued peaks; hourly updates from official agencies through March 29 will refine resolution as urban heat and timing of any breaks in clouds tip the balance.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Paris high temperature of 12°C at 34.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 11°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest Météo-France and ECMWF forecast models projecting maximums clustered between 11–13°C under persistent low-level cloud cover from a cool Atlantic airflow. Mostly cloudy conditions limit daytime insolation and suppress convective heating in the boundary layer, with model ensemble spread—some runs showing partial afternoon clearing versus sustained overcast—driving the close contest between these outcomes. Historical March highs average 12°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but current synoptic patterns favor subdued peaks; hourly updates from official agencies through March 29 will refine resolution as urban heat and timing of any breaks in clouds tip the balance.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Paris em 29 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12°C" at 36%, followed by "11°C" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Paris em 29 de março?" has generated $17K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Paris em 29 de março?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Paris em 29 de março?" is "12°C" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "11°C" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Paris em 29 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.