Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Paris high temperature of 12°C at 34.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 11°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest Météo-France and ECMWF forecast models projecting maximums clustered between 11–13°C under persistent low-level cloud cover from a cool Atlantic airflow. Mostly cloudy conditions limit daytime insolation and suppress convective heating in the boundary layer, with model ensemble spread—some runs showing partial afternoon clearing versus sustained overcast—driving the close contest between these outcomes. Historical March highs average 12°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but current synoptic patterns favor subdued peaks; hourly updates from official agencies through March 29 will refine resolution as urban heat and timing of any breaks in clouds tip the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris em 29 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris em 29 de março?
12°C 36%
11°C 30%
13°C 17%
10°C 11%
$17,015 Vol.
$17,015 Vol.
6°C ou menos
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
11%
11°C
30%
12°C
36%
13°C
17%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C ou superior
1%
12°C 36%
11°C 30%
13°C 17%
10°C 11%
$17,015 Vol.
$17,015 Vol.
6°C ou menos
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
11%
11°C
30%
12°C
36%
13°C
17%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C ou superior
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Paris high temperature of 12°C at 34.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 11°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest Météo-France and ECMWF forecast models projecting maximums clustered between 11–13°C under persistent low-level cloud cover from a cool Atlantic airflow. Mostly cloudy conditions limit daytime insolation and suppress convective heating in the boundary layer, with model ensemble spread—some runs showing partial afternoon clearing versus sustained overcast—driving the close contest between these outcomes. Historical March highs average 12°C at Paris-Montsouris station, but current synoptic patterns favor subdued peaks; hourly updates from official agencies through March 29 will refine resolution as urban heat and timing of any breaks in clouds tip the balance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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