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Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

52-53°F 34%

54-55°F 22%

50-51°F 21%

48-49°F 11%

Polymarket

$22,010 Vol.

52-53°F 34%

54-55°F 22%

50-51°F 21%

48-49°F 11%

Polymarket

$22,010 Vol.

47°F or below

$7,495 Vol.

4%

48-49°F

$1,666 Vol.

11%

50-51°F

$2,700 Vol.

21%

52-53°F

$1,741 Vol.

34%

54-55°F

$2,507 Vol.

22%

56-57°F

$1,049 Vol.

10%

58-59°F

$1,224 Vol.

2%

60-61°F

$1,283 Vol.

1%

62-63°F

$712 Vol.

<1%

64-65°F

$698 Vol.

<1%

66°F or higher

$933 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature near 52°F at New York City's Central Park observing station on March 29, driving trader consensus toward the 52-53°F (31.5%) and adjacent outcomes amid close clustering. This reflects mild southerly flow under a building upper-level ridge over the Northeast, fostering above-normal late-March warmth—historical averages hover around 52°F—but with uncertainty from divergent cloud forecasts: ECMWF suggests more afternoon breaks for potential 54-55°F peaks, while GFS implies thicker overcast capping at 50-51°F. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing efficiency and exact diurnal heating timing (typically 2-4 p.m. EST); watch NWS updates and early-morning soundings for shifts before resolution on the official daily maximum.

Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature near 52°F at New York City's Central Park observing station on March 29, driving trader consensus toward the 52-53°F (31.5%) and adjacent outcomes amid close clustering. This reflects mild southerly flow under a building upper-level ridge over the Northeast, fostering above-normal late-March warmth—historical averages hover around 52°F—but with uncertainty from divergent cloud forecasts: ECMWF suggests more afternoon breaks for potential 54-55°F peaks, while GFS implies thicker overcast capping at 50-51°F. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing efficiency and exact diurnal heating timing (typically 2-4 p.m. EST); watch NWS updates and early-morning soundings for shifts before resolution on the official daily maximum.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature near 52°F at New York City's Central Park observing station on March 29, driving trader consensus toward the 52-53°F (31.5%) and adjacent outcomes amid close clustering. This reflects mild southerly flow under a building upper-level ridge over the Northeast, fostering above-normal late-March warmth—historical averages hover around 52°F—but with uncertainty from divergent cloud forecasts: ECMWF suggests more afternoon breaks for potential 54-55°F peaks, while GFS implies thicker overcast capping at 50-51°F. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing efficiency and exact diurnal heating timing (typically 2-4 p.m. EST); watch NWS updates and early-morning soundings for shifts before resolution on the official daily maximum.

Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature near 52°F at New York City's Central Park observing station on March 29, driving trader consensus toward the 52-53°F (31.5%) and adjacent outcomes amid close clustering. This reflects mild southerly flow under a building upper-level ridge over the Northeast, fostering above-normal late-March warmth—historical averages hover around 52°F—but with uncertainty from divergent cloud forecasts: ECMWF suggests more afternoon breaks for potential 54-55°F peaks, while GFS implies thicker overcast capping at 50-51°F. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing efficiency and exact diurnal heating timing (typically 2-4 p.m. EST); watch NWS updates and early-morning soundings for shifts before resolution on the official daily maximum.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "52-53°F" at 34%, followed by "54-55°F" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" has generated $22K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" is "52-53°F" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "54-55°F" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.