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Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?

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Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?

66-67°F 100.0%

49°F ou menos <1%

50-51°F <1%

52-53°F <1%

Polymarket

$289,213 Vol.

66-67°F 100.0%

49°F ou menos <1%

50-51°F <1%

52-53°F <1%

Polymarket

$289,213 Vol.

49°F ou menos

$13,541 Vol.

Não

50-51°F

$10,682 Vol.

Não

52-53°F

$11,895 Vol.

Não

54-55°F

$15,483 Vol.

Não

56-57°F

$15,846 Vol.

Não

58-59°F

$20,614 Vol.

Não

60-61°F

$21,742 Vol.

Não

62-63°F

$38,470 Vol.

Não

64-65°F

$35,718 Vol.

Não

66-67°F

$58,059 Vol.

Sim

68°F or higher

$47,162 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City daily temperature records—confirm a maximum of 66-67°F on March 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate verified data. Unseasonably mild spring conditions prevailed, with southerly winds ahead of a cold front ushering warmer Atlantic air masses, consistent with NOAA GFS and ECMWF model consensus that forecasted highs near 66°F under partly sunny skies. This exceeds the late-March climatological average of around 52°F, reflecting above-normal Northeast temperatures in recent 10-14 day outlooks influenced by a persistent upper-level ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions from quality control audits or station-specific discrepancies (e.g., LaGuardia Airport readings), with final monthly climate reports expected soon.

Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City daily temperature records—confirm a maximum of 66-67°F on March 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate verified data. Unseasonably mild spring conditions prevailed, with southerly winds ahead of a cold front ushering warmer Atlantic air masses, consistent with NOAA GFS and ECMWF model consensus that forecasted highs near 66°F under partly sunny skies. This exceeds the late-March climatological average of around 52°F, reflecting above-normal Northeast temperatures in recent 10-14 day outlooks influenced by a persistent upper-level ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions from quality control audits or station-specific discrepancies (e.g., LaGuardia Airport readings), with final monthly climate reports expected soon.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City daily temperature records—confirm a maximum of 66-67°F on March 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate verified data. Unseasonably mild spring conditions prevailed, with southerly winds ahead of a cold front ushering warmer Atlantic air masses, consistent with NOAA GFS and ECMWF model consensus that forecasted highs near 66°F under partly sunny skies. This exceeds the late-March climatological average of around 52°F, reflecting above-normal Northeast temperatures in recent 10-14 day outlooks influenced by a persistent upper-level ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions from quality control audits or station-specific discrepancies (e.g., LaGuardia Airport readings), with final monthly climate reports expected soon.

Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City daily temperature records—confirm a maximum of 66-67°F on March 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate verified data. Unseasonably mild spring conditions prevailed, with southerly winds ahead of a cold front ushering warmer Atlantic air masses, consistent with NOAA GFS and ECMWF model consensus that forecasted highs near 66°F under partly sunny skies. This exceeds the late-March climatological average of around 52°F, reflecting above-normal Northeast temperatures in recent 10-14 day outlooks influenced by a persistent upper-level ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions from quality control audits or station-specific discrepancies (e.g., LaGuardia Airport readings), with final monthly climate reports expected soon.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "66-67°F" at 100%, followed by "49°F ou menos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?" has generated $289.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?" is "66-67°F" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "49°F ou menos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.