Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City daily temperature records—confirm a maximum of 66-67°F on March 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate verified data. Unseasonably mild spring conditions prevailed, with southerly winds ahead of a cold front ushering warmer Atlantic air masses, consistent with NOAA GFS and ECMWF model consensus that forecasted highs near 66°F under partly sunny skies. This exceeds the late-March climatological average of around 52°F, reflecting above-normal Northeast temperatures in recent 10-14 day outlooks influenced by a persistent upper-level ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions from quality control audits or station-specific discrepancies (e.g., LaGuardia Airport readings), with final monthly climate reports expected soon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on March 27?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 27?
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F ou menos <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$289,213 Vol.
$289,213 Vol.
49°F ou menos
Não
50-51°F
Não
52-53°F
Não
54-55°F
Não
56-57°F
Não
58-59°F
Não
60-61°F
Não
62-63°F
Não
64-65°F
Não
66-67°F
Sim
68°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F ou menos <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$289,213 Vol.
$289,213 Vol.
49°F ou menos
Não
50-51°F
Não
52-53°F
Não
54-55°F
Não
56-57°F
Não
58-59°F
Não
60-61°F
Não
62-63°F
Não
64-65°F
Não
66-67°F
Sim
68°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City daily temperature records—confirm a maximum of 66-67°F on March 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate verified data. Unseasonably mild spring conditions prevailed, with southerly winds ahead of a cold front ushering warmer Atlantic air masses, consistent with NOAA GFS and ECMWF model consensus that forecasted highs near 66°F under partly sunny skies. This exceeds the late-March climatological average of around 52°F, reflecting above-normal Northeast temperatures in recent 10-14 day outlooks influenced by a persistent upper-level ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions from quality control audits or station-specific discrepancies (e.g., LaGuardia Airport readings), with final monthly climate reports expected soon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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