Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 80-81°F (46.5% implied probability) as Miami's highest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 1, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating a high near 80°F amid a high-pressure ridge fostering moderate easterly winds of 10-15 mph, which enhance sea breeze development and cap daytime heating below the 82°F climatological April normal. Overnight GFS and ECMWF model runs converged on 78-82°F peaks with partly cloudy skies and low thunderstorm risk, while early morning observations at 73°F support this outlook. Uncertainty persists in afternoon sea breeze timing and isolated cumulus clouds, with finalized KMIA data expected post-sunset resolving the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on April 1?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 1?
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 35%
82-83°F 9%
76-77°F 4.0%
$148,951 Vol.
$148,951 Vol.
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
32-33°C
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 35%
82-83°F 9%
76-77°F 4.0%
$148,951 Vol.
$148,951 Vol.
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
32-33°C
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 80-81°F (46.5% implied probability) as Miami's highest temperature at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 1, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating a high near 80°F amid a high-pressure ridge fostering moderate easterly winds of 10-15 mph, which enhance sea breeze development and cap daytime heating below the 82°F climatological April normal. Overnight GFS and ECMWF model runs converged on 78-82°F peaks with partly cloudy skies and low thunderstorm risk, while early morning observations at 73°F support this outlook. Uncertainty persists in afternoon sea breeze timing and isolated cumulus clouds, with finalized KMIA data expected post-sunset resolving the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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