Official observations from Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Jakarta's highest temperature reached 34°C on April 3, 2026, during midday hours, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. BMKG data shows peak heat amid partly cloudy conditions before afternoon cloud buildup and light rain suppressed further warming, aligning with seasonal monsoon transition reducing extreme heat risks seen in March (up to 35.6°C). Typical April highs average 31–33°C per historical NOAA and BMKG climatology, with current steering patterns favoring moderation. While final daily records could theoretically revise upward via measurement corrections, late-day cooling to 28–30°C renders higher outcomes improbable, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing on verified station telemetry.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 3?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 3?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$16,988 Vol.
$16,988 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$16,988 Vol.
$16,988 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official observations from Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Jakarta's highest temperature reached 34°C on April 3, 2026, during midday hours, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. BMKG data shows peak heat amid partly cloudy conditions before afternoon cloud buildup and light rain suppressed further warming, aligning with seasonal monsoon transition reducing extreme heat risks seen in March (up to 35.6°C). Typical April highs average 31–33°C per historical NOAA and BMKG climatology, with current steering patterns favoring moderation. While final daily records could theoretically revise upward via measurement corrections, late-day cooling to 28–30°C renders higher outcomes improbable, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing on verified station telemetry.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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