Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with BMKG's latest guidance pointing to a 23–31°C range amid light rain across southern districts, capping peaks near 31°C and boosting its 23% implied probability. Recent days saw partly cloudy conditions yielding 32°C highs, while a heatwave just five days ago hit 35.6°C, but ongoing cumulonimbus cloud warnings through April 7 signal increased cloud cover and humidity (67–99%), key factors suppressing solar heating and differentiating 32–33°C outcomes at 24.5% each. Entering Indonesia's dry season transition, urban heat island effects could nudge toward 33°C if showers hold off; watch daily BMKG updates for refined model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jacarta no dia 7 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Jacarta no dia 7 de abril?
33°C 31%
32°C 25%
31°C 23%
34°C 20%
27°C ou menos
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
23%
32°C
25%
33°C
25%
34°C
20%
35°C
9%
36°C
9%
37°C ou mais
4%
33°C 31%
32°C 25%
31°C 23%
34°C 20%
27°C ou menos
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
23%
32°C
25%
33°C
25%
34°C
20%
35°C
9%
36°C
9%
37°C ou mais
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with BMKG's latest guidance pointing to a 23–31°C range amid light rain across southern districts, capping peaks near 31°C and boosting its 23% implied probability. Recent days saw partly cloudy conditions yielding 32°C highs, while a heatwave just five days ago hit 35.6°C, but ongoing cumulonimbus cloud warnings through April 7 signal increased cloud cover and humidity (67–99%), key factors suppressing solar heating and differentiating 32–33°C outcomes at 24.5% each. Entering Indonesia's dry season transition, urban heat island effects could nudge toward 33°C if showers hold off; watch daily BMKG updates for refined model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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