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Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?

Market icon

Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia 41%

Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme 30%

Vingadores: Juízo Final 15%

A Odisséia 4.8%

Polymarket

$2,522,285 Vol.

Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia 41%

Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme 30%

Vingadores: Juízo Final 15%

A Odisséia 4.8%

Polymarket

$2,522,285 Vol.

Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia

$100,465 Vol.

41%

Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme

$92,629 Vol.

30%

Vingadores: Juízo Final

$143,807 Vol.

15%

A Odisséia

$298,638 Vol.

5%

Toy Story 5

$135,875 Vol.

2%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

$83,107 Vol.

2%

Michael

$553,550 Vol.

1%

Duna: Messias

$191,522 Vol.

1%

Jogos Vorazes: O Alvorecer da Colheita

$207,317 Vol.

1%

O Morro dos Ventos Uivantes

$118,302 Vol.

<1%

Projeto Hail Mary

$161,344 Vol.

<1%

Jumanji 3

$69,211 Vol.

<1%

Wicked: For Good

$278,810 Vol.

<1%

Scream 7

$87,709 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads trader consensus at 41% implied probability for 2026's highest grossing film, propelled by its record-shattering trailer debut last week, which amassed 718 million views in 24 hours and has now surpassed 1 billion—the biggest launch ever—igniting massive presale buzz and social media frenzy ahead of its July 31 release. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails closely at 29.5%, buoyed by stellar opening weekend tracking projecting $150-165 million domestic for its April 1 bow, leveraging the franchise's billion-dollar legacy from the 2023 hit. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 14.5% despite industry optimism for its late-year Phase Six MCU slot, as early-year tentpoles like these dominate projections amid a crowded slate including Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah. Mario's imminent premiere offers the first major test of 2026 box office momentum.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads trader consensus at 41% implied probability for 2026's highest grossing film, propelled by its record-shattering trailer debut last week, which amassed 718 million views in 24 hours and has now surpassed 1 billion—the biggest launch ever—igniting massive presale buzz and social media frenzy ahead of its July 31 release. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails closely at 29.5%, buoyed by stellar opening weekend tracking projecting $150-165 million domestic for its April 1 bow, leveraging the franchise's billion-dollar legacy from the 2023 hit. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 14.5% despite industry optimism for its late-year Phase Six MCU slot, as early-year tentpoles like these dominate projections amid a crowded slate including Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah. Mario's imminent premiere offers the first major test of 2026 box office momentum.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads trader consensus at 41% implied probability for 2026's highest grossing film, propelled by its record-shattering trailer debut last week, which amassed 718 million views in 24 hours and has now surpassed 1 billion—the biggest launch ever—igniting massive presale buzz and social media frenzy ahead of its July 31 release. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails closely at 29.5%, buoyed by stellar opening weekend tracking projecting $150-165 million domestic for its April 1 bow, leveraging the franchise's billion-dollar legacy from the 2023 hit. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 14.5% despite industry optimism for its late-year Phase Six MCU slot, as early-year tentpoles like these dominate projections amid a crowded slate including Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah. Mario's imminent premiere offers the first major test of 2026 box office momentum.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads trader consensus at 41% implied probability for 2026's highest grossing film, propelled by its record-shattering trailer debut last week, which amassed 718 million views in 24 hours and has now surpassed 1 billion—the biggest launch ever—igniting massive presale buzz and social media frenzy ahead of its July 31 release. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails closely at 29.5%, buoyed by stellar opening weekend tracking projecting $150-165 million domestic for its April 1 bow, leveraging the franchise's billion-dollar legacy from the 2023 hit. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 14.5% despite industry optimism for its late-year Phase Six MCU slot, as early-year tentpoles like these dominate projections amid a crowded slate including Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah. Mario's imminent premiere offers the first major test of 2026 box office momentum.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia" at 41%, followed by "Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?" is "Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Filme de maior bilheteria em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.