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Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$31,533 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$31,533 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Finland

$16,999 Vol.

82%

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Israel

$6,325 Vol.

55%

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Greece

$0 Vol.

59%

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Denmark

$5,714 Vol.

59%

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France

$372 Vol.

59%

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Australia

$0 Vol.

54%

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Sweden

$0 Vol.

41%

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Ukraine

$0 Vol.

37%

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Romania

$169 Vol.

27%

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Italy

$0 Vol.

34%

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Malta

$0 Vol.

21%

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Czechia

$0 Vol.

18%

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Serbia

$151 Vol.

11%

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Cyprus

$585 Vol.

17%

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Moldova

$18 Vol.

15%

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Germany

$0 Vol.

14%

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Georgia

$0 Vol.

13%

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Norway

$407 Vol.

13%

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Armenia

$134 Vol.

13%

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Croatia

$0 Vol.

12%

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Montenegro

$0 Vol.

11%

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Poland

$0 Vol.

11%

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United Kingdom

$0 Vol.

10%

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Austria

$203 Vol.

10%

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Albania

$0 Vol.

9%

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San Marino

$0 Vol.

9%

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Belgium

$0 Vol.

9%

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Luxembourg

$135 Vol.

9%

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Azerbaijan

$0 Vol.

8%

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Estonia

$0 Vol.

8%

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Portugal

$0 Vol.

8%

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Latvia

$0 Vol.

8%

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Switzerland

$0 Vol.

11%

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Lithuania

$196 Vol.

11%

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Bulgaria

$124 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With all 35 entries for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 now unveiled after a intense slate of national finals through February and March—including recent song releases from Armenia, Czechia, Georgia, and Switzerland—trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nordic frontrunners, with Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Lampenius & Parkkonen leading bookie odds at 28% implied win probability due to its electropop energy and UMK landslide victory. France, Denmark, Greece, and Australia trail closely, bolstered by established artists like Delta Goodrem and strong jury-televote splits, amid Israel's televote favoritism despite boycotts shrinking the field to 35 nations. Staging previews and Vienna rehearsals from April will be pivotal swing factors before semis on May 12 and 14.

With all 35 entries for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 now unveiled after a intense slate of national finals through February and March—including recent song releases from Armenia, Czechia, Georgia, and Switzerland—trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nordic frontrunners, with Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Lampenius & Parkkonen leading bookie odds at 28% implied win probability due to its electropop energy and UMK landslide victory. France, Denmark, Greece, and Australia trail closely, bolstered by established artists like Delta Goodrem and strong jury-televote splits, amid Israel's televote favoritism despite boycotts shrinking the field to 35 nations. Staging previews and Vienna rehearsals from April will be pivotal swing factors before semis on May 12 and 14.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With all 35 entries for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 now unveiled after a intense slate of national finals through February and March—including recent song releases from Armenia, Czechia, Georgia, and Switzerland—trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nordic frontrunners, with Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Lampenius & Parkkonen leading bookie odds at 28% implied win probability due to its electropop energy and UMK landslide victory. France, Denmark, Greece, and Australia trail closely, bolstered by established artists like Delta Goodrem and strong jury-televote splits, amid Israel's televote favoritism despite boycotts shrinking the field to 35 nations. Staging previews and Vienna rehearsals from April will be pivotal swing factors before semis on May 12 and 14.

With all 35 entries for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 now unveiled after a intense slate of national finals through February and March—including recent song releases from Armenia, Czechia, Georgia, and Switzerland—trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nordic frontrunners, with Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Lampenius & Parkkonen leading bookie odds at 28% implied win probability due to its electropop energy and UMK landslide victory. France, Denmark, Greece, and Australia trail closely, bolstered by established artists like Delta Goodrem and strong jury-televote splits, amid Israel's televote favoritism despite boycotts shrinking the field to 35 nations. Staging previews and Vienna rehearsals from April will be pivotal swing factors before semis on May 12 and 14.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 82%, followed by "Greece" at 59%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" has generated $31.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 5," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is "Finland" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 59%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.