Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 260-279 tweets for Elon Musk during March 20-27, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his established pattern as X's most prolific user and owner, consistently averaging 35-45 posts per day in recent high-engagement weeks. This range aligns with verified data from the past month, including spikes around Tesla earnings calls, SpaceX milestones, and viral political exchanges that pushed weekly totals into the mid-260s without major outliers. The strong positioning underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in prediction markets, where real-money bets reward accurate historical modeling of his unyielding social media rhythm. Realistic upsets hinge on rare disruptions like a personal health event, extended platform downtime, or self-imposed break—scenarios with scant precedent amid his cultural dominance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoElon Musk # tweets 20 de março a 27 de março de 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets 20 de março a 27 de março de 2026?
260-279 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$11,067,939 Vol.
$11,067,939 Vol.
<20
Não
20-39
Não
40-59
Não
60-79
Não
80-99
Não
100-119
Não
120-139
Não
140-159
Não
160-179
Não
180-199
Não
200-219
Não
220-239
Não
240-259
Não
260-279
Sim
280-299
Não
300-319
Não
320-339
Não
340-359
Não
360-379
Não
380-399
Não
400-419
Não
420-439
Não
440-459
Não
460-479
Não
480-499
Não
500-519
Não
520-539
Não
540-559
Não
560-579
Não
580+
Não
260-279 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$11,067,939 Vol.
$11,067,939 Vol.
<20
Não
20-39
Não
40-59
Não
60-79
Não
80-99
Não
100-119
Não
120-139
Não
140-159
Não
160-179
Não
180-199
Não
200-219
Não
220-239
Não
240-259
Não
260-279
Sim
280-299
Não
300-319
Não
320-339
Não
340-359
Não
360-379
Não
380-399
Não
400-419
Não
420-439
Não
440-459
Não
460-479
Não
480-499
Não
500-519
Não
520-539
Não
540-559
Não
560-579
Não
580+
Não
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 260-279 tweets for Elon Musk during March 20-27, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his established pattern as X's most prolific user and owner, consistently averaging 35-45 posts per day in recent high-engagement weeks. This range aligns with verified data from the past month, including spikes around Tesla earnings calls, SpaceX milestones, and viral political exchanges that pushed weekly totals into the mid-260s without major outliers. The strong positioning underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in prediction markets, where real-money bets reward accurate historical modeling of his unyielding social media rhythm. Realistic upsets hinge on rare disruptions like a personal health event, extended platform downtime, or self-imposed break—scenarios with scant precedent amid his cultural dominance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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