California’s 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, as shown by Nancy Pelosi’s 81 percent victory in 2024 before her retirement. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, leaving no Republican on the ballot. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter registration advantage and consistent partisan performance. This primary outcome and structural factors underpin trader consensus that a Democratic nominee will prevail. Scenarios that could still alter results include a late independent or write-in surge, though such developments have rarely overcome the district’s established lean in recent cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
2%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,029 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$2,143 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, as shown by Nancy Pelosi’s 81 percent victory in 2024 before her retirement. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, leaving no Republican on the ballot. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter registration advantage and consistent partisan performance. This primary outcome and structural factors underpin trader consensus that a Democratic nominee will prevail. Scenarios that could still alter results include a late independent or write-in surge, though such developments have rarely overcome the district’s established lean in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$8,172Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, as shown by Nancy Pelosi’s 81 percent victory in 2024 before her retirement. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, leaving no Republican on the ballot. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter registration advantage and consistent partisan performance. This primary outcome and structural factors underpin trader consensus that a Democratic nominee will prevail. Scenarios that could still alter results include a late independent or write-in surge, though such developments have rarely overcome the district’s established lean in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,172Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, as shown by Nancy Pelosi’s 81 percent victory in 2024 before her retirement. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—State Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, leaving no Republican on the ballot. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter registration advantage and consistent partisan performance. This primary outcome and structural factors underpin trader consensus that a Democratic nominee will prevail. Scenarios that could still alter results include a late independent or write-in surge, though such developments have rarely overcome the district’s established lean in recent cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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