The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and consistent expert ratings of Solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November. Incumbent Lou Correa advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary and now faces Republican David Pan in the general election. Recent primary results and the area’s demographic makeup, centered in parts of Orange County with a majority-Hispanic electorate, have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually high Republican turnout, a significant national political shift, or an unforeseen development involving the candidates themselves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-46
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-46
$12,155 Vol.
$12,155 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$12,155 Vol.
$12,155 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,345 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$8,811 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and consistent expert ratings of Solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November. Incumbent Lou Correa advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary and now faces Republican David Pan in the general election. Recent primary results and the area’s demographic makeup, centered in parts of Orange County with a majority-Hispanic electorate, have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually high Republican turnout, a significant national political shift, or an unforeseen development involving the candidates themselves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,155Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and consistent expert ratings of Solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November. Incumbent Lou Correa advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary and now faces Republican David Pan in the general election. Recent primary results and the area’s demographic makeup, centered in parts of Orange County with a majority-Hispanic electorate, have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually high Republican turnout, a significant national political shift, or an unforeseen development involving the candidates themselves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,155Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and consistent expert ratings of Solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in November. Incumbent Lou Correa advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary and now faces Republican David Pan in the general election. Recent primary results and the area’s demographic makeup, centered in parts of Orange County with a majority-Hispanic electorate, have reinforced this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually high Republican turnout, a significant national political shift, or an unforeseen development involving the candidates themselves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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