The strong Democratic lean of Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, combined with incumbent Troy Carter's established position and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan primary ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index and repeated wide margins in recent cycles. With qualifying for the November 3, 2026 primary still ahead and only a second Democratic candidate declared alongside Carter, no competitive Republican has surfaced to challenge the outcome. The December 12 runoff trigger if needed further reinforces the implied probability, as the district's voter base and lack of recent shifts or external catalysts have kept the race noncompetitive.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLA-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
LA-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$41,944 Vol.
$41,944 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
88%
Partido Republicano
7%
$41,944 Vol.
$41,944 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$22,048 Vol.
88%
Partido Republicano
$19,896 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, combined with incumbent Troy Carter's established position and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan primary ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index and repeated wide margins in recent cycles. With qualifying for the November 3, 2026 primary still ahead and only a second Democratic candidate declared alongside Carter, no competitive Republican has surfaced to challenge the outcome. The December 12 runoff trigger if needed further reinforces the implied probability, as the district's voter base and lack of recent shifts or external catalysts have kept the race noncompetitive.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$41,944Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, combined with incumbent Troy Carter's established position and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan primary ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index and repeated wide margins in recent cycles. With qualifying for the November 3, 2026 primary still ahead and only a second Democratic candidate declared alongside Carter, no competitive Republican has surfaced to challenge the outcome. The December 12 runoff trigger if needed further reinforces the implied probability, as the district's voter base and lack of recent shifts or external catalysts have kept the race noncompetitive.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,944Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, combined with incumbent Troy Carter's established position and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan primary ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid Democratic, consistent with its partisan voting index and repeated wide margins in recent cycles. With qualifying for the November 3, 2026 primary still ahead and only a second Democratic candidate declared alongside Carter, no competitive Republican has surfaced to challenge the outcome. The December 12 runoff trigger if needed further reinforces the implied probability, as the district's voter base and lack of recent shifts or external catalysts have kept the race noncompetitive.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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