Democratic incumbent Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 primary, which features only Democratic challengers including Renada Collins. The seat’s Solid Democratic rating and partisan voting index above D+17 reflect consistent voter preferences, reinforced by Carter’s 2024 performance. No significant Republican candidates have filed by the qualifying deadline, limiting any path for the opposing party under the state’s primary and potential runoff rules. Recent congressional redistricting approved in late May 2026 preserved the district’s core boundaries around New Orleans and inner Baton Rouge without altering its partisan composition. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic nominee an 88 percent implied probability, consistent with the absence of competitive opposition and historical voting patterns in the district.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLA-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
LA-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$42,187 Vol.
$42,187 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
88%
Partido Republicano
7%
$42,187 Vol.
$42,187 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$22,054 Vol.
88%
Partido Republicano
$20,134 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 primary, which features only Democratic challengers including Renada Collins. The seat’s Solid Democratic rating and partisan voting index above D+17 reflect consistent voter preferences, reinforced by Carter’s 2024 performance. No significant Republican candidates have filed by the qualifying deadline, limiting any path for the opposing party under the state’s primary and potential runoff rules. Recent congressional redistricting approved in late May 2026 preserved the district’s core boundaries around New Orleans and inner Baton Rouge without altering its partisan composition. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic nominee an 88 percent implied probability, consistent with the absence of competitive opposition and historical voting patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$42,187Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 primary, which features only Democratic challengers including Renada Collins. The seat’s Solid Democratic rating and partisan voting index above D+17 reflect consistent voter preferences, reinforced by Carter’s 2024 performance. No significant Republican candidates have filed by the qualifying deadline, limiting any path for the opposing party under the state’s primary and potential runoff rules. Recent congressional redistricting approved in late May 2026 preserved the district’s core boundaries around New Orleans and inner Baton Rouge without altering its partisan composition. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic nominee an 88 percent implied probability, consistent with the absence of competitive opposition and historical voting patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,187Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 primary, which features only Democratic challengers including Renada Collins. The seat’s Solid Democratic rating and partisan voting index above D+17 reflect consistent voter preferences, reinforced by Carter’s 2024 performance. No significant Republican candidates have filed by the qualifying deadline, limiting any path for the opposing party under the state’s primary and potential runoff rules. Recent congressional redistricting approved in late May 2026 preserved the district’s core boundaries around New Orleans and inner Baton Rouge without altering its partisan composition. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Democratic nominee an 88 percent implied probability, consistent with the absence of competitive opposition and historical voting patterns in the district.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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