Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat centered on New Orleans, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Democratic Representative Troy Carter faces a primary challenge from Renada Collins in the November 3, 2026 jungle primary, while no Republican candidate has emerged as a credible threat. The recently enacted congressional map, approved May 29, 2026, further concentrates Democratic voters in the district, enhancing its partisan lean ahead of the potential December 12 runoff. Trader consensus in the 88% Democratic range aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive opposition.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLA-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
LA-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$42,187 Vol.
$42,187 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
88%
Partido Republicano
8%
$42,187 Vol.
$42,187 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$22,054 Vol.
88%
Partido Republicano
$20,134 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat centered on New Orleans, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Democratic Representative Troy Carter faces a primary challenge from Renada Collins in the November 3, 2026 jungle primary, while no Republican candidate has emerged as a credible threat. The recently enacted congressional map, approved May 29, 2026, further concentrates Democratic voters in the district, enhancing its partisan lean ahead of the potential December 12 runoff. Trader consensus in the 88% Democratic range aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive opposition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$42,187Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat centered on New Orleans, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Democratic Representative Troy Carter faces a primary challenge from Renada Collins in the November 3, 2026 jungle primary, while no Republican candidate has emerged as a credible threat. The recently enacted congressional map, approved May 29, 2026, further concentrates Democratic voters in the district, enhancing its partisan lean ahead of the potential December 12 runoff. Trader consensus in the 88% Democratic range aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive opposition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,187Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat centered on New Orleans, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+17 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Democratic Representative Troy Carter faces a primary challenge from Renada Collins in the November 3, 2026 jungle primary, while no Republican candidate has emerged as a credible threat. The recently enacted congressional map, approved May 29, 2026, further concentrates Democratic voters in the district, enhancing its partisan lean ahead of the potential December 12 runoff. Trader consensus in the 88% Democratic range aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive opposition.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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