Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly CPI inflation in the 3.1–3.3% range, aligning with economist medians around 3.2% following February's 2.9% print—stable from January but above the 2.7% forecast, driven by surges in regulated utilities and administered prices amid President Milei's subsidy cuts. This positioning reflects ongoing disinflation from 2025 highs, with annual inflation expectations easing to 33.5% in March from 35.7% prior, bolstered by 4.4% GDP growth last year and falling poverty rates. However, persistent base effects and fiscal tightening sustain mild upward pressure; INDEC's official release, due imminently, could catalyze shifts as traders eye sustained 3% monthly trajectory for policy credibility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoArgentina Monthly Inflation - March
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
3.1–3.3% 78%
2.8–3.0% 20%
2.5–2.7% 3.3%
3.7%+ 1.9%
$18,254 Vol.
$18,254 Vol.
14 abr 2026
≤2.1%
<1%
2.2–2.4%
<1%
2.5–2.7%
3%
2.8–3.0%
20%
3.1–3.3%
78%
3.4–3.6%
1%
3.7%+
2%
3.1–3.3% 78%
2.8–3.0% 20%
2.5–2.7% 3.3%
3.7%+ 1.9%
$18,254 Vol.
$18,254 Vol.
14 abr 2026
≤2.1%
$1,490 Vol.
<1%
2.2–2.4%
$1,116 Vol.
<1%
2.5–2.7%
$1,442 Vol.
3%
2.8–3.0%
$1,874 Vol.
20%
3.1–3.3%
$5,852 Vol.
78%
3.4–3.6%
$2,679 Vol.
1%
3.7%+
$3,801 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly CPI inflation in the 3.1–3.3% range, aligning with economist medians around 3.2% following February's 2.9% print—stable from January but above the 2.7% forecast, driven by surges in regulated utilities and administered prices amid President Milei's subsidy cuts. This positioning reflects ongoing disinflation from 2025 highs, with annual inflation expectations easing to 33.5% in March from 35.7% prior, bolstered by 4.4% GDP growth last year and falling poverty rates. However, persistent base effects and fiscal tightening sustain mild upward pressure; INDEC's official release, due imminently, could catalyze shifts as traders eye sustained 3% monthly trajectory for policy credibility.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
Volume
$18,254Data de Término
14 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly CPI inflation in the 3.1–3.3% range, aligning with economist medians around 3.2% following February's 2.9% print—stable from January but above the 2.7% forecast, driven by surges in regulated utilities and administered prices amid President Milei's subsidy cuts. This positioning reflects ongoing disinflation from 2025 highs, with annual inflation expectations easing to 33.5% in March from 35.7% prior, bolstered by 4.4% GDP growth last year and falling poverty rates. However, persistent base effects and fiscal tightening sustain mild upward pressure; INDEC's official release, due imminently, could catalyze shifts as traders eye sustained 3% monthly trajectory for policy credibility.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$18,254Data de Término
14 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability for Argentina's March monthly CPI inflation in the 3.1–3.3% range, aligning with economist medians around 3.2% following February's 2.9% print—stable from January but above the 2.7% forecast, driven by surges in regulated utilities and administered prices amid President Milei's subsidy cuts. This positioning reflects ongoing disinflation from 2025 highs, with annual inflation expectations easing to 33.5% in March from 35.7% prior, bolstered by 4.4% GDP growth last year and falling poverty rates. However, persistent base effects and fiscal tightening sustain mild upward pressure; INDEC's official release, due imminently, could catalyze shifts as traders eye sustained 3% monthly trajectory for policy credibility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions