Following the January 3, 2026, U.S. special operations strikes on Caracas that captured President Nicolás Maduro without civilian casualties, Washington has maintained a naval blockade and conducted repeated actions against Venezuelan vessels in the Caribbean, including a recent strike killing three individuals—the 47th such operation since the intervention, as condemned by Human Rights Watch. President Trump announced temporary U.S. oversight of Venezuela's transition and oil revenues to facilitate a "safe" handover amid stalled political reforms and opposition calls for elections. No additional large-scale strikes on Venezuelan territory have materialized in the past three months, with trader consensus reflecting de-escalation signals from U.S. diplomatic pressures on interim leaders, though narcotics interdictions and energy sector control sustain low-level military engagements. Upcoming congressional hearings on the intervention could influence future actions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$2,527,062 Vol.
31 jan 2026
31 de dezembro
13%
$2,527,062 Vol.
31 de dezembro
$485,761 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Following the January 3, 2026, U.S. special operations strikes on Caracas that captured President Nicolás Maduro without civilian casualties, Washington has maintained a naval blockade and conducted repeated actions against Venezuelan vessels in the Caribbean, including a recent strike killing three individuals—the 47th such operation since the intervention, as condemned by Human Rights Watch. President Trump announced temporary U.S. oversight of Venezuela's transition and oil revenues to facilitate a "safe" handover amid stalled political reforms and opposition calls for elections. No additional large-scale strikes on Venezuelan territory have materialized in the past three months, with trader consensus reflecting de-escalation signals from U.S. diplomatic pressures on interim leaders, though narcotics interdictions and energy sector control sustain low-level military engagements. Upcoming congressional hearings on the intervention could influence future actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,527,062Data de Término
31 jan 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Following the January 3, 2026, U.S. special operations strikes on Caracas that captured President Nicolás Maduro without civilian casualties, Washington has maintained a naval blockade and conducted repeated actions against Venezuelan vessels in the Caribbean, including a recent strike killing three individuals—the 47th such operation since the intervention, as condemned by Human Rights Watch. President Trump announced temporary U.S. oversight of Venezuela's transition and oil revenues to facilitate a "safe" handover amid stalled political reforms and opposition calls for elections. No additional large-scale strikes on Venezuelan territory have materialized in the past three months, with trader consensus reflecting de-escalation signals from U.S. diplomatic pressures on interim leaders, though narcotics interdictions and energy sector control sustain low-level military engagements. Upcoming congressional hearings on the intervention could influence future actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$2,527,062Data de Término
31 jan 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the January 3, 2026, U.S. special operations strikes on Caracas that captured President Nicolás Maduro without civilian casualties, Washington has maintained a naval blockade and conducted repeated actions against Venezuelan vessels in the Caribbean, including a recent strike killing three individuals—the 47th such operation since the intervention, as condemned by Human Rights Watch. President Trump announced temporary U.S. oversight of Venezuela's transition and oil revenues to facilitate a "safe" handover amid stalled political reforms and opposition calls for elections. No additional large-scale strikes on Venezuelan territory have materialized in the past three months, with trader consensus reflecting de-escalation signals from U.S. diplomatic pressures on interim leaders, though narcotics interdictions and energy sector control sustain low-level military engagements. Upcoming congressional hearings on the intervention could influence future actions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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