Market icon
Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca

Market icon
Política·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca

Tom Begich 31%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 17%

Bernadette Wilson 16%

Treg Taylor 13.0%

Polymarket

$708,568 Vol.

Tom Begich 31%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 17%

Bernadette Wilson 16%

Treg Taylor 13.0%

Polymarket

$708,568 Vol.

Market icon

Tom Begich

$94,412 Vol.

31%

Market icon

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$42 Vol.

17%

Market icon

Bernadette Wilson

$129,540 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Treg Taylor

$2,678 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Nancy Dahlstrom

$98,034 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Hank Kroll

$75 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Click Bishop

$2,291 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Edna DeVries

$2,347 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Lisa Murkowski

$2,185 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Matt Claman

$59 Vol.

4%

Market icon

James Parkin

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

David Bronson

$2,157 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Bruce Walden

$39 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Shelley Hughes

$0 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Mary Peltola

$319,626 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Matt Heilala

$23,418 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Adam Crum

$31,666 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In the open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, with term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, trader consensus favors former Sen. Tom Begich at 31% implied probability due to a recent Lake Research Partners primary poll showing him leading the crowded top-four primary field at 22%, propelled by a fragmented Republican slate of 12 candidates splitting conservative support. Bernadette Wilson, strong in GOP straw polls at 14-17%, differentiates via business background and Permanent Fund Dividend advocacy, while Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins garners progressive backing on fisheries and cost-of-living issues. Consolidation hinges on endorsements, fundraising hauls reported in February, and candidate forums ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary, with ranked-choice voting in November favoring broad appeal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$708,568
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In the open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, with term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, trader consensus favors former Sen. Tom Begich at 31% implied probability due to a recent Lake Research Partners primary poll showing him leading the crowded top-four primary field at 22%, propelled by a fragmented Republican slate of 12 candidates splitting conservative support. Bernadette Wilson, strong in GOP straw polls at 14-17%, differentiates via business background and Permanent Fund Dividend advocacy, while Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins garners progressive backing on fisheries and cost-of-living issues. Consolidation hinges on endorsements, fundraising hauls reported in February, and candidate forums ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary, with ranked-choice voting in November favoring broad appeal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$708,568
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Begich" at 31%, followed by "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " has generated $708.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca ," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " is "Tom Begich" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Alasca " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.