Market icon

2nd largest company end of April?

Market icon

2nd largest company end of April?

Apple 66%

Alphabet 26%

NVIDIA 6.3%

Microsoft 1.7%

Polymarket

$520,772 Vol.

Apple 66%

Alphabet 26%

NVIDIA 6.3%

Microsoft 1.7%

Polymarket

$520,772 Vol.

Market icon

Apple

$8,245 Vol.

66%

Market icon

Alphabet

$9,847 Vol.

26%

Market icon

NVIDIA

$382,282 Vol.

6%

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Microsoft

$92,203 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Tesla

$6,559 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Amazon

$18,920 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Saudi Aramco

$9,895 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66% implied probability that Apple holds the second-largest market capitalization by April 30, reflecting its current ~$2.6 trillion valuation edging out Alphabet's ~$2.4 trillion despite the latter's 15% share surge following robust Q1 earnings on April 25, which highlighted 28% cloud revenue growth and strong ad performance. NVIDIA trails at 7% odds amid ongoing AI chip demand driving its cap toward $2.4 trillion, though volatility tempers expectations; Microsoft remains entrenched at #1 with over $3.1 trillion. Lower probabilities for Tesla, Amazon, and Saudi Aramco stem from wider gaps—sub-$1 trillion for Tesla/Amazon and Aramco's oil-tied sensitivity—positioning them as longshots absent major rallies. Key watch: final week's trading volume and macro risk appetite ahead of month-end close.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$520,772
Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66% implied probability that Apple holds the second-largest market capitalization by April 30, reflecting its current ~$2.6 trillion valuation edging out Alphabet's ~$2.4 trillion despite the latter's 15% share surge following robust Q1 earnings on April 25, which highlighted 28% cloud revenue growth and strong ad performance. NVIDIA trails at 7% odds amid ongoing AI chip demand driving its cap toward $2.4 trillion, though volatility tempers expectations; Microsoft remains entrenched at #1 with over $3.1 trillion. Lower probabilities for Tesla, Amazon, and Saudi Aramco stem from wider gaps—sub-$1 trillion for Tesla/Amazon and Aramco's oil-tied sensitivity—positioning them as longshots absent major rallies. Key watch: final week's trading volume and macro risk appetite ahead of month-end close.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66% implied probability that Apple holds the second-largest market capitalization by April 30, reflecting its current ~$2.6 trillion valuation edging out Alphabet's ~$2.4 trillion despite the latter's 15% share surge following robust Q1 earnings on April 25, which highlighted 28% cloud revenue growth and strong ad performance. NVIDIA trails at 7% odds amid ongoing AI chip demand driving its cap toward $2.4 trillion, though volatility tempers expectations; Microsoft remains entrenched at #1 with over $3.1 trillion. Lower probabilities for Tesla, Amazon, and Saudi Aramco stem from wider gaps—sub-$1 trillion for Tesla/Amazon and Aramco's oil-tied sensitivity—positioning them as longshots absent major rallies. Key watch: final week's trading volume and macro risk appetite ahead of month-end close.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2nd largest company end of April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apple" at 66%, followed by "Alphabet" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2nd largest company end of April?" has generated $520.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2nd largest company end of April?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2nd largest company end of April?" is "Apple" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2nd largest company end of April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.