risk-manager

Joined Oct 2024·34.0K views

risk.manager.poly [at] gmail

$145.0K

Positions Value

$202.1K

Biggest Win

871

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$161.3K
Total Volume: 699.3M

Profit/Loss

$15.68

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 80.7¢

31,969.2 shares

80.7¢

91¢

$29,075.99$3,279.21 (12.71%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 80.7¢

31,969.2 shares

$29,075.99$3,279.21 (12.71%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 79.5¢

26,000.0 shares

79.5¢

74.5¢

$19,369.97-$1,299.66 (-6.29%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 79.5¢

26,000.0 shares

$19,369.97-$1,299.66 (-6.29%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 30.9¢

105,000.1 shares

30.9¢

15.5¢

$16,222.52-$16,233.23 (-50.02%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 30.9¢

105,000.1 shares

$16,222.52-$16,233.23 (-50.02%)

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No 94¢

15,119.2 shares

94¢

96.8¢

$14,627.78$412.80 (2.9%)

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No 94¢

15,119.2 shares

$14,627.78$412.80 (2.9%)

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 83.7¢

14,916.5 shares

83.7¢

94.5¢

$14,096.05$1,604.44 (12.84%)

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 83.7¢

14,916.5 shares

$14,096.05$1,604.44 (12.84%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 83¢

10,000.4 shares

83¢

90.5¢

$9,050.35$750.04 (9.04%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 83¢

10,000.4 shares

$9,050.35$750.04 (9.04%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.7¢

10,000.0 shares

82.7¢

82.5¢

$8,250.01-$24.99 (-0.3%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.7¢

10,000.0 shares

$8,250.01-$24.99 (-0.3%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

No 84.4¢

5,067.6 shares

84.4¢

97.4¢

$4,935.87$657.72 (15.37%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

No 84.4¢

5,067.6 shares

$4,935.87$657.72 (15.37%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 86¢

5,000.0 shares

86¢

89.5¢

$4,475.00$175.00 (4.07%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 86¢

5,000.0 shares

$4,475.00$175.00 (4.07%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Yes 88.9¢

5,456.6 shares

88.9¢

81.5¢

$4,447.16-$401.77 (-8.29%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Yes 88.9¢

5,456.6 shares

$4,447.16-$401.77 (-8.29%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 75¢

4,500.0 shares

75¢

95.5¢

$4,297.47$922.53 (27.33%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 75¢

4,500.0 shares

$4,297.47$922.53 (27.33%)

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.8¢

2,194,023.2 shares

0.8¢

0.2¢

$3,291.03-$14,222.46 (-81.21%)

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.8¢

2,194,023.2 shares

$3,291.03-$14,222.46 (-81.21%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

No 89¢

3,000.0 shares

89¢

92.6¢

$2,776.50$106.50 (3.99%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

No 89¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,776.50$106.50 (3.99%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

No 70¢

4,000.0 shares

70¢

53.5¢

$2,140.01-$660.00 (-23.57%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

No 70¢

4,000.0 shares

$2,140.01-$660.00 (-23.57%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Yes 69.7¢

2,000.0 shares

69.7¢

93¢

$1,859.98$465.00 (33.33%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Yes 69.7¢

2,000.0 shares

$1,859.98$465.00 (33.33%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 57.1¢

6,500.0 shares

57.1¢

14.5¢

$942.49-$2,767.45 (-74.6%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 57.1¢

6,500.0 shares

$942.49-$2,767.45 (-74.6%)

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 14.8¢

19,158.3 shares

14.8¢

3.9¢

$737.59-$2,088.25 (-73.9%)

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 14.8¢

19,158.3 shares

$737.59-$2,088.25 (-73.9%)

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.2¢

430,572.6 shares

0.2¢

$645.86-$215.29 (-25%)

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.2¢

430,572.6 shares

$645.86-$215.29 (-25%)

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 84.3¢

1,574.1 shares

84.3¢

37.5¢

$590.28-$736.52 (-55.51%)

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 84.3¢

1,574.1 shares

$590.28-$736.52 (-55.51%)

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

No 75.6¢

450.0 shares

75.6¢

96.5¢

$434.25$94.05 (27.65%)

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

No 75.6¢

450.0 shares

$434.25$94.05 (27.65%)