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Regulation predictions & odds

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US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

22%

$22.8K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

10

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

96%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

11%

BMO

$22.4K Vol.

$76.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

78%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.3K Vol.

$85.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$86.8K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

What price will Ethena hit in May?

What price will Ethena hit in May?

15%

↑ 0.16

$2.5K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

52%

↑ 48

$111K Vol.

$34.8K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

WIll Lamine Yamal play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

WIll Lamine Yamal play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

98%

$4.9K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

What price will Solana hit in May?

What price will Solana hit in May?

60%

↓ 80

$1M Vol.

$63.8K today

$465K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

73%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

14%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

33

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

30%

$98.2K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$20.0K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

99%

$715

$13.6K Vol.

$82.9K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

What price will BNB hit in May?

What price will BNB hit in May?

37%

↓ 600

$26.6K Vol.

$56.1K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

13%

$13.9K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

94%

Baby

$17.5K Vol.

$48 Liq.

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

45%

60-79

$8.0K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Regulation.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Regulation that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 82% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Regulation predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.