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icon for Le prochain ministre britannique des Affaires étrangères en 2026 ?
Politique·Royaume-Uni

Le prochain ministre britannique des Affaires étrangères en 2026 ?

icon for Le prochain ministre britannique des Affaires étrangères en 2026 ?
Politique·Royaume-Uni

Le prochain ministre britannique des Affaires étrangères en 2026 ?

Ed Miliband 100.0%

Pat McFadden <1%

Darren Jones <1%

Wes Streeting <1%

Polymarket

$329,475 Vol.

Ed Miliband 100.0%

Pat McFadden <1%

Darren Jones <1%

Wes Streeting <1%

Polymarket

$329,475 Vol.

icon for Pat McFadden

Pat McFadden

$6,927 Vol.

Non

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$6,471 Vol.

Non

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$82,535 Vol.

Non

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$5,747 Vol.

Non

icon for David Lammy

David Lammy

$2,160 Vol.

Non

icon for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves

$3,755 Vol.

Non

icon for Hilary Benn

Hilary Benn

$1,064 Vol.

Non

icon for John Healey

John Healey

$26,669 Vol.

Non

icon for Lisa Nandy

Lisa Nandy

$7,902 Vol.

Non

icon for Pas de prochain secrétaire aux Affaires étrangères en 2026

Pas de prochain secrétaire aux Affaires étrangères en 2026

$89,375 Vol.

Non

icon for Keir Starmer

Keir Starmer

$19,888 Vol.

Non

icon for David Miliband

David Miliband

$47,875 Vol.

Non

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$29,107 Vol.

Oui

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent cabinet instability under Keir Starmer, including the September 2025 reshuffle that moved David Lammy to Deputy Prime Minister and installed Yvette Cooper as Foreign Secretary, followed by further May-June 2026 adjustments amid resignations and a Labour leadership crisis, has left trader sentiment evenly split across numerous senior Labour figures. With no dominant frontrunner emerging and "no change in 2026" also priced near 45 percent, the market reflects uncertainty over whether additional reshuffles will occur before year-end, the broad bench of eligible cabinet ministers and MPs, and procedural factors like prime ministerial discretion in appointments. Scheduled parliamentary sessions and any further ministerial departures could quickly shift implied probabilities among the listed contenders.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$329,475
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent cabinet instability under Keir Starmer, including the September 2025 reshuffle that moved David Lammy to Deputy Prime Minister and installed Yvette Cooper as Foreign Secretary, followed by further May-June 2026 adjustments amid resignations and a Labour leadership crisis, has left trader sentiment evenly split across numerous senior Labour figures. With no dominant frontrunner emerging and "no change in 2026" also priced near 45 percent, the market reflects uncertainty over whether additional reshuffles will occur before year-end, the broad bench of eligible cabinet ministers and MPs, and procedural factors like prime ministerial discretion in appointments. Scheduled parliamentary sessions and any further ministerial departures could quickly shift implied probabilities among the listed contenders.

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$329,475
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

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Questions fréquentes

« Le prochain ministre britannique des Affaires étrangères en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ed Miliband » à 100%, suivi de « Pat McFadden » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le prochain ministre britannique des Affaires étrangères en 2026 ? » a généré $329.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 22, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le prochain ministre britannique des Affaires étrangères en 2026 ? », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le prochain ministre britannique des Affaires étrangères en 2026 ? » est « Ed Miliband » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Pat McFadden » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le prochain ministre britannique des Affaires étrangères en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.