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Redistricting predictions & odds

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Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

100%

Pass 3-6%

$647K Vol.

$95.9K today

$747K Liq.

71

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

7%

$17.8K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

20

Ends in 6 months

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

98%

California

$205K Vol.

$199K Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

29%

Below 190

$222K Vol.

$158K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

84%

$2.3K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

81%

$2.7K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

16%

110-115m

$7.0K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

22–23

$666K Vol.

$74.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

6%

$79.0K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

9

Ends in 6 months

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$16.2K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$918 Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$1.3K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$174K Liq.

7

AR-03 House Election Winner

AR-03 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$6.2K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

48%

7-9

$41.4K Vol.

$739 Liq.

1

OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$3.8K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

AR-01 House Election Winner

AR-01 House Election Winner

93%

Republican Party

$15.5K Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OR-04 House Election Winner

OR-04 House Election Winner

91%

Democratic Party

$9.2K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

AR-02 House Election Winner

AR-02 House Election Winner

87%

Republican Party

$7.0K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

17%

May 31

$134K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

10

Frequently Asked Questions

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