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Carney predictions & odds

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Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

39%

May 31

$459 Vol.

$917 Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

99%

Lula da Silva

$176K Vol.

$354K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Dota 2: Carstensz vs GLYPH (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Carstensz vs GLYPH (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

100%

GLYPH

$137K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Carstensz

$30.2K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Carstensz (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Carstensz (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

53%

InterActive Philippines

$186 Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

67%

↑ 48

$8.3K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

Imperial Academy

$105K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Entropy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Entropy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Sashi Academy

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

73%

↑ $288

$41.4K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Counter-Strike: Entropy vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Entropy vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Entropy

$4.0K Vol.

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

25%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$238 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

100%

Ballroom

$6.2K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

7

Ends in 4 days

Will Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings?

69%

$1 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

Passion Academy

$34.5K Vol.

Counter-Strike: c0kistas vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - Aorus League LATAM Group A

Counter-Strike: c0kistas vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - Aorus League LATAM Group A

100%

R2 Esports Club

$366 Vol.

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

95%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$43.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Istanbul: Carole Monnet vs Francesca Jones

Istanbul: Carole Monnet vs Francesca Jones

80%

Francesca Jones

$0 Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Counter-Strike:  Phantom Academy vs XI Esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs XI Esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

XI Esport

$966 Vol.

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Entropy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Entropy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Entropy

$319 Vol.

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K Vol.

17

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Carney.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Carney that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - United21 Group C”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun),” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun),” where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to Pause–Pause–Pause. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Carney predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.