Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

10%

$15M Vol.

$359K today

$536K Liq.

71

Ends in 9 months

Rocket League: Netherlands vs Morocco (BO2)

Rocket League: Netherlands vs Morocco (BO2)

Netherlands

$5 Vol.

$0 Liq.

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

49%

3

$35.1K Vol.

$41.6K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

41%

4

$6M Vol.

$169K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France

61%

France

$832 Vol.

$63 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

43%

June 30

$7.2K Vol.

$901 Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France

52%

Norway

$2.2K Vol.

$49 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

U19 World Cup: Zimbabwe Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: Zimbabwe Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s - More Markets

-

$2.4K Vol.

$0 Liq.

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: France vs Norway

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: France vs Norway

51%

France

$0 Vol.

$37 Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Counter-Strike: megoshort vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: megoshort vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

63%

megoshort

$8.1K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

67%

Nemiga

$572 Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in about 12 hours

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

100%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$1M Vol.

$582K today

$2M Liq.

365

Legends Cricket League: 3rd Place vs 4th Place

Legends Cricket League: 3rd Place vs 4th Place

51%

3rd Place

$931 Vol.

$1 Liq.

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs Norway

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs Norway

50%

Norway

$5.9K Vol.

$53 Liq.

Ends in 9 days

US Yacoub El Mansour vs. OC Safi

US Yacoub El Mansour vs. OC Safi

57%

US Yacoub El Mansour

$46 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs Norway

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs Norway

51%

Portugal

$0 Vol.

$35 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

35%

$315K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1

LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1

100%

Team WE

$1M Vol.

$3 Liq.

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs Norway

T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs Norway

51%

Portugal

$0 Vol.

$39 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals

72%

Los Angeles Dodgers

$45.8K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 4 Nations.

Polymarket currently hosts 130 active markets for 4 Nations that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $24.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 4 Nations predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.