Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 45%

Rick Rieder 28.7%

Christopher Waller 12.8%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$240,959,970 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$8,709,763 Vol.
45%

Rick Rieder
$7,090,020 Vol.
29%

Christopher Waller
$6,326,013 Vol.
13%

Kevin Hassett
$13,760,790 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$7,685,684 Vol.
3%

Michelle Bowman
$5,914,787 Vol.
1%

Judy Shelton
$7,668,784 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,665,297 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,530,755 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$5,228,474 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$10,105,691 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,338,933 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,165,307 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,845,080 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,009,403 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,293,949 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,195,940 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,328,202 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,517,957 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,105,651 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$9,628,164 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,882,846 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,830,459 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,250,454 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,896,601 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$240,959,970

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 45%

Rick Rieder 28.7%

Christopher Waller 12.8%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$240,959,970 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$8,709,763 Vol.

45%

Rick Rieder

$7,090,020 Vol.

29%

Christopher Waller

$6,326,013 Vol.

13%

Kevin Hassett

$13,760,790 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$7,685,684 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$5,914,787 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$7,668,784 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$5,665,297 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$4,530,755 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$5,228,474 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$10,105,691 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,338,933 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,165,307 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,845,080 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,009,403 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,293,949 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,195,940 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,328,202 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$3,517,957 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,105,651 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$9,628,164 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,882,846 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,830,459 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$19,250,454 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,896,601 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$240,959,970

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

56%

Will 57 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

26%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

99%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
$8,709,763 Vol.
45%

Rick Rieder
$7,090,020 Vol.
29%

Christopher Waller
$6,326,013 Vol.
13%

Kevin Hassett
$13,760,790 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$7,685,684 Vol.
3%

Michelle Bowman
$5,914,787 Vol.
1%

Judy Shelton
$7,668,784 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,665,297 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,530,755 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$5,228,474 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$10,105,691 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,338,933 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,165,307 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,845,080 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,009,403 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,293,949 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,195,940 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,328,202 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,517,957 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,105,651 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$9,628,164 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,882,846 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,830,459 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,250,454 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,896,601 Vol.
<1%

Market Context