Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 61%

Rick Rieder 20.1%

Christopher Waller 11.3%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$219,528,715 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$7,508,657 Vol.
61%

Rick Rieder
$5,872,246 Vol.
20%

Christopher Waller
$5,699,995 Vol.
11%

Kevin Hassett
$12,977,291 Vol.
6%

Judy Shelton
$6,469,281 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$5,086,353 Vol.
1%

Scott Bessent
$6,082,682 Vol.
1%

Jerome Powell
$9,043,509 Vol.
<1%

Stephen Miran
$5,018,505 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$4,258,770 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,318,588 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$3,947,464 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,095,287 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$12,655,534 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,999,373 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,268,800 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,085,977 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,310,363 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,325,720 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,088,836 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$8,047,433 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,875,378 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,819,114 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,020,007 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,648,548 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$219,528,715

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 61%

Rick Rieder 20.1%

Christopher Waller 11.3%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$219,528,715 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$7,508,657 Vol.

61%

Rick Rieder

$5,872,246 Vol.

20%

Christopher Waller

$5,699,995 Vol.

11%

Kevin Hassett

$12,977,291 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$6,469,281 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$5,086,353 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$6,082,682 Vol.

Jerome Powell

$9,043,509 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$5,018,505 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$4,258,770 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,318,588 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$3,947,464 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,095,287 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$12,655,534 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,999,373 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,268,800 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,085,977 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,310,363 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$3,325,720 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,088,836 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$8,047,433 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,875,378 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,819,114 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$19,020,007 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,648,548 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$219,528,715

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

43%

Will 59 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

29%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

97%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
$7,508,657 Vol.
61%

Rick Rieder
$5,872,246 Vol.
20%

Christopher Waller
$5,699,995 Vol.
11%

Kevin Hassett
$12,977,291 Vol.
6%

Judy Shelton
$6,469,281 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$5,086,353 Vol.
1%

Scott Bessent
$6,082,682 Vol.
1%

Jerome Powell
$9,043,509 Vol.
<1%

Stephen Miran
$5,018,505 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$4,258,770 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,318,588 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$3,947,464 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,095,287 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$12,655,534 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,999,373 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,268,800 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,085,977 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,310,363 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,325,720 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,088,836 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$8,047,433 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,875,378 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,819,114 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,020,007 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,648,548 Vol.
<1%

Market Context