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Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.3%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$61,006,649 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.3%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$61,006,649 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$740,430 Vol.

16%

Bryson Dechambeau

$212,628 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$423,881 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$185,355 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$353,904 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,354,043 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,391,033 Vol.

5%

Tommy Fleetwood

$256,428 Vol.

3%

Cameron Young

$2,735,256 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$392,377 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$387,170 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$279,447 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,789,632 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$314,777 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$196,153 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$192,410 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$289,293 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,028,731 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,988,328 Vol.

2%

Justin Thomas

$159,895 Vol.

1%

Sepp Straka

$279,824 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,752,765 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,617,711 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$678,704 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,268,775 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$810,627 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,607,032 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$201,330 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$238,570 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$152,308 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$194,848 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$135,794 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$399,265 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$156,512 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$209,730 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$119,079 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$207,013 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$111,860 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$274,135 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$284,072 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$310,336 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$615,774 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$299,603 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$269,481 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$226,177 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$646,797 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$487,368 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$343,061 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$418,057 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$469,345 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$216,753 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$205,776 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$349,261 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$745,854 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$695,465 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$587,643 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$623,554 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$710,498 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$418,825 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability as world No. 1 with two prior green jackets, elite strokes gained tee-to-green numbers over the last three months, and a 68-cut streak amid solid recent finishes like T-22 at The Players. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.3%) have surged on LIV Golf momentum, highlighted by DeChambeau's playoff win over Rahm last weekend in South Africa, boosting their Augusta upside despite limited PGA starts. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) brings Grand Slam pedigree and eight top-10s in 12 Masters starts, while Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) impresses as a rising star with strong course fit. Key differentiators include par-5 scoring, iron precision on Augusta's demanding layout, and experience navigating firm, fast greens under mild, mostly sunny forecasts in the 70s-80s.

Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability as world No. 1 with two prior green jackets, elite strokes gained tee-to-green numbers over the last three months, and a 68-cut streak amid solid recent finishes like T-22 at The Players. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.3%) have surged on LIV Golf momentum, highlighted by DeChambeau's playoff win over Rahm last weekend in South Africa, boosting their Augusta upside despite limited PGA starts. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) brings Grand Slam pedigree and eight top-10s in 12 Masters starts, while Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) impresses as a rising star with strong course fit. Key differentiators include par-5 scoring, iron precision on Augusta's demanding layout, and experience navigating firm, fast greens under mild, mostly sunny forecasts in the 70s-80s.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability as world No. 1 with two prior green jackets, elite strokes gained tee-to-green numbers over the last three months, and a 68-cut streak amid solid recent finishes like T-22 at The Players. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.3%) have surged on LIV Golf momentum, highlighted by DeChambeau's playoff win over Rahm last weekend in South Africa, boosting their Augusta upside despite limited PGA starts. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) brings Grand Slam pedigree and eight top-10s in 12 Masters starts, while Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) impresses as a rising star with strong course fit. Key differentiators include par-5 scoring, iron precision on Augusta's demanding layout, and experience navigating firm, fast greens under mild, mostly sunny forecasts in the 70s-80s.

Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability as world No. 1 with two prior green jackets, elite strokes gained tee-to-green numbers over the last three months, and a 68-cut streak amid solid recent finishes like T-22 at The Players. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.3%) have surged on LIV Golf momentum, highlighted by DeChambeau's playoff win over Rahm last weekend in South Africa, boosting their Augusta upside despite limited PGA starts. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) brings Grand Slam pedigree and eight top-10s in 12 Masters starts, while Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) impresses as a rising star with strong course fit. Key differentiators include par-5 scoring, iron precision on Augusta's demanding layout, and experience navigating firm, fast greens under mild, mostly sunny forecasts in the 70s-80s.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $61 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.