Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability as world No. 1 with two prior green jackets, elite strokes gained tee-to-green numbers over the last three months, and a 68-cut streak amid solid recent finishes like T-22 at The Players. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.3%) have surged on LIV Golf momentum, highlighted by DeChambeau's playoff win over Rahm last weekend in South Africa, boosting their Augusta upside despite limited PGA starts. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) brings Grand Slam pedigree and eight top-10s in 12 Masters starts, while Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) impresses as a rising star with strong course fit. Key differentiators include par-5 scoring, iron precision on Augusta's demanding layout, and experience navigating firm, fast greens under mild, mostly sunny forecasts in the 70s-80s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,006,649 Vol.
$61,006,649 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Max Homa
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,006,649 Vol.
$61,006,649 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Max Homa
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability as world No. 1 with two prior green jackets, elite strokes gained tee-to-green numbers over the last three months, and a 68-cut streak amid solid recent finishes like T-22 at The Players. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.3%) have surged on LIV Golf momentum, highlighted by DeChambeau's playoff win over Rahm last weekend in South Africa, boosting their Augusta upside despite limited PGA starts. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) brings Grand Slam pedigree and eight top-10s in 12 Masters starts, while Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) impresses as a rising star with strong course fit. Key differentiators include par-5 scoring, iron precision on Augusta's demanding layout, and experience navigating firm, fast greens under mild, mostly sunny forecasts in the 70s-80s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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