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Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$1,425,107 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,425,107
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 5:12 PM ET
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Beware of external links.

$1,425,107 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$276,369 Vol.

100%

Marty Supreme

$42,832 Vol.

99%

Sinners

$66,185 Vol.

99%

Hamnet

$154,637 Vol.

99%

Frankenstein

$53,935 Vol.

97%

Sentimental Value

$19,903 Vol.

96%

Bugonia

$52,513 Vol.

91%

Train Dreams

$52,422 Vol.

81%

The Secret Agent

$4,614 Vol.

80%

It Was Just an Accident

$43,885 Vol.

72%

F1

$42,095 Vol.

23%

Weapons

$33,610 Vol.

15%

Blue Moon

$50 Vol.

9%

Wicked: For Good

$76,676 Vol.

6%

Sorry Baby

$3,190 Vol.

6%

No Other Choice

$46,835 Vol.

5%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$46,940 Vol.

4%

Jay Kelly

$66,235 Vol.

4%

Nouvelle Vague

$6,478 Vol.

3%

A House of Dynamite

$18,377 Vol.

3%

The Smashing Machine

$27,005 Vol.

2%

Rental Family

$32,547 Vol.

2%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$4,484 Vol.

2%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$7,979 Vol.

1%

Anemone

$39,277 Vol.

1%

The Lost Bus

$16,804 Vol.

1%

Die My Love

$44,446 Vol.

1%

The Life of Chuck

$44,228 Vol.

1%

Thunderbolts

$20,658 Vol.

1%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$28,413 Vol.

1%

Highest 2 Lowest

$45,759 Vol.

1%

After the Hunt

$1,058 Vol.

<1%

Sound of Falling

$1,863 Vol.

<1%

Novocaine

$1,126 Vol.

<1%

Warfare

$1,679 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,425,107
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 5:12 PM ET
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Beware of external links.