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Oscars 2026: Best Actor Nominations

$280,841 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Actor. If a actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$280,841
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:14 PM UTC
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$280,841 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Leonardo DiCaprio

$31,178 Vol.

97%

Timothée Chalamet

$31,790 Vol.

97%

Wagner Moura

$73,154 Vol.

89%

Michael B. Jordan

$31,954 Vol.

84%

Ethan Hawke

$1,978 Vol.

72%

Joel Edgerton

$26,097 Vol.

25%

Jesse Plemons

$13,891 Vol.

22%

Lee Byung-hun

$6,473 Vol.

12%

Paul Mescal

$2,084 Vol.

10%

Jeremy Allen White

$8,582 Vol.

8%

George Clooney

$10,760 Vol.

7%

Brendan Fraser

$3,316 Vol.

6%

Dwayne Johnson

$20,995 Vol.

6%

Daniel Day-Lewis

$2,496 Vol.

4%

Denzel Washington

$1,177 Vol.

2%

Brad Pitt

$7,476 Vol.

2%

Joaquin Phoenix

$1,358 Vol.

2%

Willem Dafoe

$647 Vol.

1%

Matthew McConaughey

$2,644 Vol.

1%

Colin Farrell

$2,789 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$280,841
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:14 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.