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Oscars 2026: Best Actor Nominations

$563,878 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Actor. If a actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$563,878
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:14 PM UTC
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$563,878 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Timothée Chalamet

$48,442 Vol.

99%

Leonardo DiCaprio

$54,132 Vol.

99%

Michael B. Jordan

$118,618 Vol.

97%

Ethan Hawke

$7,909 Vol.

83%

Wagner Moura

$112,705 Vol.

79%

Jesse Plemons

$39,395 Vol.

34%

Joel Edgerton

$45,796 Vol.

22%

Lee Byung-hun

$30,777 Vol.

6%

Dwayne Johnson

$42,543 Vol.

4%

Colin Farrell

$3,139 Vol.

4%

Paul Mescal

$3,863 Vol.

3%

Jeremy Allen White

$9,845 Vol.

3%

Daniel Day-Lewis

$3,273 Vol.

2%

George Clooney

$13,267 Vol.

2%

Brendan Fraser

$6,193 Vol.

1%

Denzel Washington

$2,108 Vol.

1%

Brad Pitt

$13,980 Vol.

1%

Willem Dafoe

$1,550 Vol.

1%

Matthew McConaughey

$4,237 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Phoenix

$2,105 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$563,878
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:14 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.