Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" under $5 million opening weekend (86.5% implied probability), driven by modest Thursday previews of just $1 million and a soft Friday gross of $2.2 million from 2,778 locations, well below pre-release tracking of $6-10 million. Zazie Beetz's satanic high-rise horror faces stiff competition from Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary," eyeing a $53 million second weekend, while overlapping with last week's underperformer "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" in premise and demo (women over 25). Mixed reviews (67% Rotten Tomatoes) and thrifty marketing cap momentum, with Saturday/Sunday walkups key to final tallies amid spring break boosts for family holdovers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
<5m 85%
5-6m 14%
6-7m 1.0%
7-8m <1%
$119,842 Vol.
$119,842 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
85%
5-6m
14%
6-7m
1%
7-8m
1%
>8m
<1%
<5m 85%
5-6m 14%
6-7m 1.0%
7-8m <1%
$119,842 Vol.
$119,842 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
$33,619 Vol.
85%
5-6m
$15,415 Vol.
14%
6-7m
$17,795 Vol.
1%
7-8m
$13,128 Vol.
1%
>8m
$40,072 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" under $5 million opening weekend (86.5% implied probability), driven by modest Thursday previews of just $1 million and a soft Friday gross of $2.2 million from 2,778 locations, well below pre-release tracking of $6-10 million. Zazie Beetz's satanic high-rise horror faces stiff competition from Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary," eyeing a $53 million second weekend, while overlapping with last week's underperformer "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" in premise and demo (women over 25). Mixed reviews (67% Rotten Tomatoes) and thrifty marketing cap momentum, with Saturday/Sunday walkups key to final tallies amid spring break boosts for family holdovers.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Volume
$119,842End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" under $5 million opening weekend (86.5% implied probability), driven by modest Thursday previews of just $1 million and a soft Friday gross of $2.2 million from 2,778 locations, well below pre-release tracking of $6-10 million. Zazie Beetz's satanic high-rise horror faces stiff competition from Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary," eyeing a $53 million second weekend, while overlapping with last week's underperformer "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" in premise and demo (women over 25). Mixed reviews (67% Rotten Tomatoes) and thrifty marketing cap momentum, with Saturday/Sunday walkups key to final tallies amid spring break boosts for family holdovers.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$119,842End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" under $5 million opening weekend (86.5% implied probability), driven by modest Thursday previews of just $1 million and a soft Friday gross of $2.2 million from 2,778 locations, well below pre-release tracking of $6-10 million. Zazie Beetz's satanic high-rise horror faces stiff competition from Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary," eyeing a $53 million second weekend, while overlapping with last week's underperformer "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" in premise and demo (women over 25). Mixed reviews (67% Rotten Tomatoes) and thrifty marketing cap momentum, with Saturday/Sunday walkups key to final tallies amid spring break boosts for family holdovers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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