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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 14%

Bryson Dechambeau 9%

Jon Rahm 7.6%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$65,642,224 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 14%

Bryson Dechambeau 9%

Jon Rahm 7.6%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$65,642,224 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$917,939 Vol.

14%

Bryson Dechambeau

$256,902 Vol.

9%

Jon Rahm

$492,444 Vol.

8%

Rory McIlroy

$205,669 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$419,579 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,468,951 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,410,329 Vol.

4%

Tommy Fleetwood

$301,629 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,805,237 Vol.

4%

Justin Rose

$433,358 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$418,285 Vol.

3%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,127,694 Vol.

3%

Akshay Bhatia

$367,796 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,873,140 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$249,426 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$251,107 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$732,513 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$359,753 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$5,034,860 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$349,979 Vol.

2%

Jason Day

$3,660,191 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$318,097 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$832,483 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$177,225 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,699,643 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,833,531 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$322,132 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,300,136 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$216,564 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$240,009 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$307,361 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$340,047 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$168,351 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$157,596 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$403,877 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$253,413 Vol.

1%

Tony Finau

$373,994 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$170,385 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$326,036 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$147,894 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$214,983 Vol.

<1%

Sahith Theegala

$460,048 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$510,857 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$750,224 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$587,010 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$1,030,353 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$269,930 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$396,776 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$316,489 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$461,101 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$678,665 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$922,480 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$549,509 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$758,807 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$352,233 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$510,765 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$509,126 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$925,126 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$713,422 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's narrow trader consensus edge at 13.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history—two Masters victories in 2022 and 2024, plus no finish outside the top 20—paired with elite ball-striking and par-5 scoring that fits the layout perfectly, despite a recent form slump and withdrawal from the Houston Open two weeks ago for rest. The race stays tight with Bryson DeChambeau (8.5%) leveraging newfound major-winning form from his 2024 U.S. Open and bomber length on Augusta par 5s, Jon Rahm (7.6%) drawing on his 2023 green jacket and LIV consistency, and Rory McIlroy (6.5%) fueled by Grand Slam pursuit amid solid approach play. Rising stars like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele add depth to a 90-player field loaded with past champions, unpredictable bentgrass greens, and potential weather variables keeping probabilities dispersed below 15%.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$65,642,224
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's narrow trader consensus edge at 13.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history—two Masters victories in 2022 and 2024, plus no finish outside the top 20—paired with elite ball-striking and par-5 scoring that fits the layout perfectly, despite a recent form slump and withdrawal from the Houston Open two weeks ago for rest. The race stays tight with Bryson DeChambeau (8.5%) leveraging newfound major-winning form from his 2024 U.S. Open and bomber length on Augusta par 5s, Jon Rahm (7.6%) drawing on his 2023 green jacket and LIV consistency, and Rory McIlroy (6.5%) fueled by Grand Slam pursuit amid solid approach play. Rising stars like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele add depth to a 90-player field loaded with past champions, unpredictable bentgrass greens, and potential weather variables keeping probabilities dispersed below 15%.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$65,642,224
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $65.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.