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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 13%

Bryson Dechambeau 9%

Jon Rahm 7.6%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$65,757,755 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 13%

Bryson Dechambeau 9%

Jon Rahm 7.6%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$65,757,755 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$918,425 Vol.

13%

Bryson Dechambeau

$257,865 Vol.

9%

Jon Rahm

$492,826 Vol.

8%

Rory McIlroy

$206,493 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$420,468 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,472,653 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,414,606 Vol.

4%

Tommy Fleetwood

$302,317 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,805,678 Vol.

4%

Justin Rose

$434,236 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$418,481 Vol.

3%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,127,919 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,874,746 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$368,257 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$253,103 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$733,473 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$360,764 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$249,752 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$5,037,642 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$350,910 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$319,718 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,660,710 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$832,778 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$178,760 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,700,269 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,835,041 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,300,590 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$217,516 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$322,226 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$240,215 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$409,462 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$340,985 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$307,456 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$257,499 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$168,728 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$328,646 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$158,295 Vol.

1%

Tony Finau

$377,379 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$171,509 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$147,989 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$461,188 Vol.

<1%

Wyndham Clark

$218,199 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$510,952 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$273,062 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$750,319 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$590,278 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$1,042,249 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$403,772 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$320,951 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$467,435 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$679,898 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$928,932 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$553,305 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$762,680 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$357,661 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$510,864 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$511,418 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$925,220 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$713,422 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus at 13% implied probability stems from his world No. 1 status, two prior green jackets (2022, 2024), and unflappable ball-striking on Augusta's firm greens and Amen Corner tests, reinforced by his American Express victory and ongoing top-10 streak into tournament week. Bryson DeChambeau's surge to 8.5% reflects back-to-back LIV wins, including a playoff defeat of Jon Rahm last weekend, highlighting his par-5 bombing that suits Augusta. Rahm (7.6%) draws from his 2023 triumph, while Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyes career grand slam completion amid solid prep; Ludvig Aberg (5.5%) and Xander Schauffele (5.2%) add rising threats with strong course histories, keeping the top tightly contested amid no major injuries or weather disruptions.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$65,757,755
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus at 13% implied probability stems from his world No. 1 status, two prior green jackets (2022, 2024), and unflappable ball-striking on Augusta's firm greens and Amen Corner tests, reinforced by his American Express victory and ongoing top-10 streak into tournament week. Bryson DeChambeau's surge to 8.5% reflects back-to-back LIV wins, including a playoff defeat of Jon Rahm last weekend, highlighting his par-5 bombing that suits Augusta. Rahm (7.6%) draws from his 2023 triumph, while Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyes career grand slam completion amid solid prep; Ludvig Aberg (5.5%) and Xander Schauffele (5.2%) add rising threats with strong course histories, keeping the top tightly contested amid no major injuries or weather disruptions.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$65,757,755
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 13%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $65.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.