Market icon

Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022?

Market icon

Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022?

In shows of strong support for Ukraine, many European leaders have visited Kyiv since the Russian retreat from the region surrounding the Ukrainian capital. The list of visiting leaders includes the EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, as well as the Presidents of Poland, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, and the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States Joseph Biden visits Ukraine between April 13, 2022, and June 1, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Joseph Biden physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not President Biden enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the governments of the United States of America and/or Ukraine (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/); however, other credible reporting may be considered.
Volume
$9,934
End Date
Jun 1, 2022
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
In shows of strong support for Ukraine, many European leaders have visited Kyiv since the Russian retreat from the region surrounding the Ukrainian capital. The list of visiting leaders includes the EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, as well as the Presidents of Poland, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, and the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States Joseph Biden visits Ukraine between April 13, 2022, and June 1, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Joseph Biden physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not President Biden enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the governments of the United States of America and/or Ukraine (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/); however, other credible reporting may be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

In shows of strong support for Ukraine, many European leaders have visited Kyiv since the Russian retreat from the region surrounding the Ukrainian capital. The list of visiting leaders includes the EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, as well as the Presidents of Poland, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, and the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States Joseph Biden visits Ukraine between April 13, 2022, and June 1, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Joseph Biden physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not President Biden enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the governments of the United States of America and/or Ukraine (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/); however, other credible reporting may be considered.
Volume
$9,934
End Date
Jun 1, 2022
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
In shows of strong support for Ukraine, many European leaders have visited Kyiv since the Russian retreat from the region surrounding the Ukrainian capital. The list of visiting leaders includes the EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, as well as the Presidents of Poland, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, and the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States Joseph Biden visits Ukraine between April 13, 2022, and June 1, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Joseph Biden physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not President Biden enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the governments of the United States of America and/or Ukraine (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/); however, other credible reporting may be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.