Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 14%

Jon Rahm 7.6%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$66,105,956 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 14%

Jon Rahm 7.6%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$66,105,956 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$920,827 Vol.

14%

Jon Rahm

$496,324 Vol.

8%

Bryson Dechambeau

$260,721 Vol.

8%

Rory McIlroy

$211,019 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$427,521 Vol.

6%

Xander Schauffele

$8,478,091 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,421,880 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,808,189 Vol.

4%

Tommy Fleetwood

$304,329 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$437,496 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$419,714 Vol.

3%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,133,751 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$254,662 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$737,584 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,876,858 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$363,924 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$368,771 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$250,450 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$5,042,201 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$351,032 Vol.

2%

Will Zalatoris

$366,075 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$320,587 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$836,054 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$178,795 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,703,203 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,666,161 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,301,548 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$220,296 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$265,272 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,837,831 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$309,027 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$374,023 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$169,064 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$332,502 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$240,251 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$159,183 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$172,033 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$415,830 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$148,008 Vol.

1%

Tony Finau

$384,819 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$462,769 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$512,075 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$277,621 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$750,360 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$597,015 Vol.

<1%

Wyndham Clark

$229,215 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$1,047,510 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$341,000 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$475,301 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$680,574 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$949,947 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$563,119 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$773,701 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$368,549 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$422,603 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$515,291 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$931,664 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$713,422 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$529,458 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler tops trader consensus at 13.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, buoyed by his Augusta National victories in 2022 and 2024, elite ball-striking, and world No. 1 consistency, yet the market remains tightly bunched amid a stacked 91-player field. LIV Golf standouts Jon Rahm (7.6%) and Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) draw support from strong major pedigrees and Augusta course history, while Rory McIlroy's 6.5% reflects grand slam pressure despite recent back injury concerns. Ludvig Aberg's runner-up at the Valero Texas Open—won by Robert MacIntyre—highlights mid-pack momentum, underscoring no elite dominance in pre-Masters events like Houston Open and Valero, keeping irons play, putting on treacherous greens, and Amen Corner execution pivotal in this wide-open battle.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,105,956
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler tops trader consensus at 13.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, buoyed by his Augusta National victories in 2022 and 2024, elite ball-striking, and world No. 1 consistency, yet the market remains tightly bunched amid a stacked 91-player field. LIV Golf standouts Jon Rahm (7.6%) and Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) draw support from strong major pedigrees and Augusta course history, while Rory McIlroy's 6.5% reflects grand slam pressure despite recent back injury concerns. Ludvig Aberg's runner-up at the Valero Texas Open—won by Robert MacIntyre—highlights mid-pack momentum, underscoring no elite dominance in pre-Masters events like Houston Open and Valero, keeping irons play, putting on treacherous greens, and Amen Corner execution pivotal in this wide-open battle.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,105,956
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, followed by "Jon Rahm" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $66.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Rahm" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.