Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Opendoor (OPEN) closing the week of March 16 in the $5.00-$6.00 range at 73% implied probability, reflecting momentum from the stock's recent surge above $4.50 amid improving housing market dynamics and lower mortgage rates. Key drivers include Opendoor's Q4 2024 earnings beat, with revenue up 25% year-over-year to $1.2 billion and reduced net losses, boosting trader confidence in its iBuying model recovery. Broader tailwinds from Federal Reserve rate cut expectations—pricing in 75% odds for a March cut—support real estate stocks, positioning $4.00-$5.00 (16.5%) and $6.00-$7.00 (12%) as secondary outcomes, while lower ranges fade on positive sentiment. Upcoming CPI data could sway volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$5.00-$6.00 73%
$4.00-$5.00 16%
$6.00-$7.00 12%
$3.00-$4.00 8.1%
$112,050 Vol.
$112,050 Vol.
<$1.00
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
<1%
$2.00-$3.00
1%
$3.00-$4.00
8%
$4.00-$5.00
16%
$5.00-$6.00
73%
$6.00-$7.00
12%
$7.00-$8.00
1%
$8.00-$9.00
1%
$9.00-$10
1%
>$10
<1%
$5.00-$6.00 73%
$4.00-$5.00 16%
$6.00-$7.00 12%
$3.00-$4.00 8.1%
$112,050 Vol.
$112,050 Vol.
<$1.00
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
<1%
$2.00-$3.00
1%
$3.00-$4.00
8%
$4.00-$5.00
16%
$5.00-$6.00
73%
$6.00-$7.00
12%
$7.00-$8.00
1%
$8.00-$9.00
1%
$9.00-$10
1%
>$10
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Opendoor (OPEN) closing the week of March 16 in the $5.00-$6.00 range at 73% implied probability, reflecting momentum from the stock's recent surge above $4.50 amid improving housing market dynamics and lower mortgage rates. Key drivers include Opendoor's Q4 2024 earnings beat, with revenue up 25% year-over-year to $1.2 billion and reduced net losses, boosting trader confidence in its iBuying model recovery. Broader tailwinds from Federal Reserve rate cut expectations—pricing in 75% odds for a March cut—support real estate stocks, positioning $4.00-$5.00 (16.5%) and $6.00-$7.00 (12%) as secondary outcomes, while lower ranges fade on positive sentiment. Upcoming CPI data could sway volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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