Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Netflix (NFLX) closing the week of March 23 in the $90-$100 range at 75% implied probability, reflecting a market-implied price around $95 amid recent subscriber growth slowdowns and competitive pressures from Disney+ and Amazon Prime. Key drivers include NFLX's Q4 earnings beat on revenue but miss on paid memberships, sparking a 10% post-earnings pullback from $105 highs, alongside broader tech sector rotation out of growth stocks on rising Treasury yields. Upcoming FOMC minutes and consumer spending data could sway sentiment, but historical March volatility averages 5%, supporting consolidation in this band over lower $80s (15.5%) or higher $100-$110 (8.4%) outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$90-$100 76%
$80-$90 14%
$70-$80 2.7%
$100-$110 1.9%
$62,318 Vol.
$62,318 Vol.
<$50
<1%
$50-$60
1%
$60-$70
1%
$70-$80
3%
$80-$90
15%
$90-$100
76%
$100-$110
10%
$110-$120
2%
$120-$130
<1%
$130-$140
1%
>$140
<1%
$90-$100 76%
$80-$90 14%
$70-$80 2.7%
$100-$110 1.9%
$62,318 Vol.
$62,318 Vol.
<$50
<1%
$50-$60
1%
$60-$70
1%
$70-$80
3%
$80-$90
15%
$90-$100
76%
$100-$110
10%
$110-$120
2%
$120-$130
<1%
$130-$140
1%
>$140
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Netflix (NFLX) closing the week of March 23 in the $90-$100 range at 75% implied probability, reflecting a market-implied price around $95 amid recent subscriber growth slowdowns and competitive pressures from Disney+ and Amazon Prime. Key drivers include NFLX's Q4 earnings beat on revenue but miss on paid memberships, sparking a 10% post-earnings pullback from $105 highs, alongside broader tech sector rotation out of growth stocks on rising Treasury yields. Upcoming FOMC minutes and consumer spending data could sway sentiment, but historical March volatility averages 5%, supporting consolidation in this band over lower $80s (15.5%) or higher $100-$110 (8.4%) outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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