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Who will win the 2022 French presidential election?

Market icon

Who will win the 2022 French presidential election?

$787,537 Vol.

Apr 25, 2022
Polymarket

$787,537 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Emmanuel Macron

$517,908 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Valerie Pecresse

$1,510 Vol.

No

Market icon

Marine Le Pen

$265,173 Vol.

No

Market icon

Eric Zemmour

$2,946 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen is the winner of the 2022 French Presidential election.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that if no election occurs in 2022, then all brackets will resolve “No”.
The first round of the 2022 French presidential election will be held on 10 April 2022. Should no candidate win a majority of the vote in the first round, a runoff will be held between the top two candidates on 24 April 2022.
The main resolution sources for this market will be https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/ and https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/, however credible media reports will also be used.
Volume
$787,537
End Date
Apr 24, 2022
Market Opened
Jan 10, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen is the winner of the 2022 French Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that if no election occurs in 2022, then all brackets will resolve “No”. The first round of the 2022 French presidential election will be held on 10 April 2022. Should no candidate win a majority of the vote in the first round, a runoff will be held between the top two candidates on 24 April 2022. The main resolution sources for this market will be https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/ and https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/, however credible media reports will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will win the 2022 French presidential election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Emmanuel Macron" at 100%, followed by "Valerie Pecresse" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will win the 2022 French presidential election?" has generated $787.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 11, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will win the 2022 French presidential election?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will win the 2022 French presidential election?" is "Emmanuel Macron" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Valerie Pecresse" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will win the 2022 French presidential election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.