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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 14%

Jon Rahm 7.8%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$66,196,746 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 14%

Jon Rahm 7.8%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$66,196,746 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$921,094 Vol.

14%

Jon Rahm

$496,469 Vol.

8%

Bryson Dechambeau

$260,996 Vol.

8%

Rory McIlroy

$211,590 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$428,787 Vol.

6%

Xander Schauffele

$8,478,893 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,422,031 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,809,299 Vol.

4%

Tommy Fleetwood

$304,434 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$437,650 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$419,848 Vol.

3%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,135,550 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$366,347 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$256,476 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$739,869 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,877,419 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$368,821 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$250,450 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$5,042,424 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$351,032 Vol.

2%

Will Zalatoris

$366,075 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$320,701 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$836,054 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$178,918 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,707,753 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,666,513 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,301,779 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$220,296 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,838,620 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$309,027 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$267,121 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$374,523 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$423,210 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$169,627 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$333,861 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$240,351 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$159,183 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$172,349 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$148,180 Vol.

1%

Tony Finau

$393,554 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$463,022 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$512,075 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$279,442 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$750,360 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$431,022 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$352,710 Vol.

<1%

Wyndham Clark

$234,470 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$1,049,569 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$476,596 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$680,574 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$599,478 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$952,163 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$567,695 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$374,862 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$515,291 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$778,656 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$931,664 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$713,422 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$529,458 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's unmatched Augusta National course history—two green jackets in 2022 and 2024, never outside the top 20—anchors trader consensus at 13.5% implied probability, yet recent form dips including subpar first rounds and a noted swing tweak have traders cautious. Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV Golf playoff wins, including over Jon Rahm last week, and top-six finishes in the past two Masters fuel his 7.5% share, while Rahm's league-leading adjusted strokes gained in 2026 bolsters his 7.8%. Rory McIlroy, 2025 defending champion seeking a rare repeat, sits at 6.5% amid a winless PGA Tour start, underscoring the deep field's volatility where ball-striking precision and Amen Corner navigation keep probabilities tightly contested among proven major contenders.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,196,746
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's unmatched Augusta National course history—two green jackets in 2022 and 2024, never outside the top 20—anchors trader consensus at 13.5% implied probability, yet recent form dips including subpar first rounds and a noted swing tweak have traders cautious. Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV Golf playoff wins, including over Jon Rahm last week, and top-six finishes in the past two Masters fuel his 7.5% share, while Rahm's league-leading adjusted strokes gained in 2026 bolsters his 7.8%. Rory McIlroy, 2025 defending champion seeking a rare repeat, sits at 6.5% amid a winless PGA Tour start, underscoring the deep field's volatility where ball-striking precision and Amen Corner navigation keep probabilities tightly contested among proven major contenders.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,196,746
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, followed by "Jon Rahm" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $66.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Rahm" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.