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Politics·Celebrities

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Market icon
Politics·Celebrities

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$169,864 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$169,864 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

19%

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Josh Hawley

$3,257 Vol.

21%

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Mark Kelly

$4,871 Vol.

20%

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Steve Bannon

$8,323 Vol.

20%

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J.D. Vance

$0 Vol.

17%

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Brian Kemp

$0 Vol.

17%

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J.B. Pritzker

$2,171 Vol.

16%

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Pete Buttigieg

$0 Vol.

16%

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Rand Paul

$0 Vol.

15%

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John Fetterman

$4,059 Vol.

15%

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Tucker Carlson

$0 Vol.

15%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$3,455 Vol.

15%

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Nikki Haley

$0 Vol.

14%

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Phil Murphy

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Ron DeSantis

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Jared Polis

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$4,984 Vol.

13%

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Kamala Harris

$12,719 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

12%

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Rahm Emanuel

$0 Vol.

12%

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Gina Raimondo

$0 Vol.

12%

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Gavin Newsom

$43,458 Vol.

12%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Elise Stefanik

$0 Vol.

12%

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Mark Cuban

$872 Vol.

12%

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Ted Cruz

$0 Vol.

12%

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Cory Booker

$0 Vol.

11%

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Wes Moore

$0 Vol.

11%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$0 Vol.

11%

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John Thune

$0 Vol.

11%

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Glenn Youngkin

$0 Vol.

11%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$27,273 Vol.

11%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,183 Vol.

11%

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Jon Ossoff

$0 Vol.

11%

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Marco Rubio

$0 Vol.

10%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$0 Vol.

10%

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Mike Pence

$8,882 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,116 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$0 Vol.

9%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$0 Vol.

9%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$5,374 Vol.

9%

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Donald Trump

$7,635 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Andy Beshear

$4,348 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Liz Cheney

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

George Clooney

$0 Vol.

8%

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Oprah Winfrey

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

8%

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Hillary Clinton

$0 Vol.

7%

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Chelsea Clinton

$0 Vol.

7%

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Tom Brady

$0 Vol.

7%

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Bernie Sanders

$0 Vol.

7%

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Raphael Warnock

$0 Vol.

7%

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Roy Cooper

$0 Vol.

7%

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Josh Shapiro

$0 Vol.

7%

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Matt Gaetz

$2,072 Vol.

6%

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Tim Walz

$0 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Erika Kirk

$5,811 Vol.

6%

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Elon Musk

$0 Vol.

6%

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Hunter Biden

$0 Vol.

5%

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Ivanka Trump

$0 Vol.

5%

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Barack Obama

$0 Vol.

4%

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Michelle Obama

$0 Vol.

4%

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Zohran Mamdani

$0 Vol.

4%

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MrBeast

$0 Vol.

3%

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LeBron James

$0 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$0 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of late March 2026, no prominent politicians have formally announced a 2028 presidential run before the 2027 deadline, leaving trader consensus focused on early positioning amid President Trump's term limits barring a third bid and an open field. Over 200 fringe candidates, mostly independents and minor party figures, have filed with the FEC since early 2026, but major names like Republican VP JD Vance, Sen. Rand Paul—who signaled interest mid-March emphasizing fiscal conservatism—and Democrats Pete Buttigieg or Gavin Newsom remain exploratory. Recent polls highlight Buttigieg's New Hampshire lead, while GOP buzz surrounds Sec. of State Marco Rubio. The November 2026 midterms loom as a key catalyst for declarations, per historical primary timelines.

As of late March 2026, no prominent politicians have formally announced a 2028 presidential run before the 2027 deadline, leaving trader consensus focused on early positioning amid President Trump's term limits barring a third bid and an open field. Over 200 fringe candidates, mostly independents and minor party figures, have filed with the FEC since early 2026, but major names like Republican VP JD Vance, Sen. Rand Paul—who signaled interest mid-March emphasizing fiscal conservatism—and Democrats Pete Buttigieg or Gavin Newsom remain exploratory. Recent polls highlight Buttigieg's New Hampshire lead, while GOP buzz surrounds Sec. of State Marco Rubio. The November 2026 midterms loom as a key catalyst for declarations, per historical primary timelines.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of late March 2026, no prominent politicians have formally announced a 2028 presidential run before the 2027 deadline, leaving trader consensus focused on early positioning amid President Trump's term limits barring a third bid and an open field. Over 200 fringe candidates, mostly independents and minor party figures, have filed with the FEC since early 2026, but major names like Republican VP JD Vance, Sen. Rand Paul—who signaled interest mid-March emphasizing fiscal conservatism—and Democrats Pete Buttigieg or Gavin Newsom remain exploratory. Recent polls highlight Buttigieg's New Hampshire lead, while GOP buzz surrounds Sec. of State Marco Rubio. The November 2026 midterms loom as a key catalyst for declarations, per historical primary timelines.

As of late March 2026, no prominent politicians have formally announced a 2028 presidential run before the 2027 deadline, leaving trader consensus focused on early positioning amid President Trump's term limits barring a third bid and an open field. Over 200 fringe candidates, mostly independents and minor party figures, have filed with the FEC since early 2026, but major names like Republican VP JD Vance, Sen. Rand Paul—who signaled interest mid-March emphasizing fiscal conservatism—and Democrats Pete Buttigieg or Gavin Newsom remain exploratory. Recent polls highlight Buttigieg's New Hampshire lead, while GOP buzz surrounds Sec. of State Marco Rubio. The November 2026 midterms loom as a key catalyst for declarations, per historical primary timelines.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

7%
Market icon

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

12%
Market icon

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

11%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gretchen Whitmer" at 51%, followed by "Josh Hawley" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" has generated $169.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" is "Gretchen Whitmer" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Hawley" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.