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Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

Market icon
Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

George Russell 43%

Kimi Antonelli 31.6%

Charles Leclerc 6.8%

Oscar Piastri 5.1%

Polymarket

$81,781,852 Vol.

George Russell 43%

Kimi Antonelli 31.6%

Charles Leclerc 6.8%

Oscar Piastri 5.1%

Polymarket

$81,781,852 Vol.

George Russell

$1,406,099 Vol.

43%

Kimi Antonelli

$2,581,046 Vol.

32%

Charles Leclerc

$2,260,996 Vol.

7%

Oscar Piastri

$1,237,575 Vol.

5%

Lewis Hamilton

$2,862,808 Vol.

4%

Lando Norris

$1,407,528 Vol.

3%

Max Verstappen

$1,161,920 Vol.

2%

Isack Hadjar

$3,720,993 Vol.

1%

Fernando Alonso

$4,090,444 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$3,962,448 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$3,431,378 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$4,459,033 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$4,425,053 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$4,368,911 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$5,465,269 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$5,445,435 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$4,292,730 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$4,618,996 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$4,863,099 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$4,901,501 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$4,759,816 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$6,069,111 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Mercedes' dominant W17 car has propelled teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli to the top of Polymarket's 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship trader consensus, with Russell at 42.5% implied probability ahead of Antonelli's 31.5% amid their intra-team title fight. Antonelli seized the points lead at 72-63 after his Japanese Grand Prix victory last week—his second win and youngest-ever championship lead—capitalizing on a safety car while Russell dropped to fourth via battery failure and pit misfortune despite prior Australia triumph and Shanghai Sprint success. Mercedes leads constructors by 45 points over Ferrari, sidelining Leclerc (6.8%) and distant challengers like Norris and Verstappen as underdogs with realistic upset potential if reliability falters.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$81,781,852
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Mercedes' dominant W17 car has propelled teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli to the top of Polymarket's 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship trader consensus, with Russell at 42.5% implied probability ahead of Antonelli's 31.5% amid their intra-team title fight. Antonelli seized the points lead at 72-63 after his Japanese Grand Prix victory last week—his second win and youngest-ever championship lead—capitalizing on a safety car while Russell dropped to fourth via battery failure and pit misfortune despite prior Australia triumph and Shanghai Sprint success. Mercedes leads constructors by 45 points over Ferrari, sidelining Leclerc (6.8%) and distant challengers like Norris and Verstappen as underdogs with realistic upset potential if reliability falters.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$81,781,852
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "George Russell" at 43%, followed by "Kimi Antonelli" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $81.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "George Russell" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.